USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...?

Polymarket World › Middle East Closes Nov 30 · $13.7K traded · $3K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

91%October 31

October 3191%▲ 7
November 3091%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

October 31: 80% on Oct 20, 91% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
October 31	91%	▲ 7	90¢	93¢	$1.08	$10.4K
November 30	91%	▲ 1	90¢	92¢	$1.09	$3.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: USS George H.W. Bush, CENTCOM

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USS McFaul completes 11-month deployment after combat operations with three carrier groupsDefence Industry · 47 h agoThe guided-missile destroyer USS McFaul returned to Naval Station Norfolk on Oct. 23, ending an 11-month deployment to Europe and the Middle East. During that time, the ship conducted combat missions in Operation Epic Fury and operated…
USS McFaul (DDG 74) Returns to Norfolk Following DeploymentDVIDS · 3 days agoNAVAL STATION NORFOLK, Va. – The Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS McFaul (DDG 74) returned to Naval Station Norfolk, Oct. 23, 2026, concluding an 11-month deployment to the U.S. 5th and 6th Fleet areas of operation. USS…
CENTCOM Commander Visits Strait of Hormuz during Milestone WeekDVIDS · 30 h agoSTRAIT OF HORMUZ — The commander of U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) visited the Strait of Hormuz, Oct. 25, as U.S. forces reach the milestone of assisting Gulf partners in exporting more than 1.5 billion barrels of crude oil since summer…
CENTCOM chief flies over Hormuz, says key routes clear of minesThe New Arab · 28 h agoNetanyahu lobbying Trump for more election support: report Israeli forces advance in Syria’s Quneitra; Daraa officer killed Protecting minorities: A test for Syria's new political order Inside Israel's deepening ties with Bosnia's Serb…
CENTCOM reportedly has plans for Iran strikes: Will Trump approve them?Yahoo News · 42 h agoThe US military has drawn up options for renewed attacks on Iran, according to the Washington-based website The Hill, raising the prospect of another round of major fighting in a war approaching its eighth month. Central Command (CENTCOM)…
CENTCOM Chief Brad Cooper flies over Hormuz during Middle East visitThe Jerusalem Post | JPost.com · 27 h agoUS Central Command (CENTCOM) Adm. Brad Cooper visited the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday as part of the US effort to allow shipment movement and crude oil exports through the contentious waterway. Cooper observed the ongoing operations while…
Picogrid lays out new C2 nodes supporting Army in CENTCOM | InsideDefense.cominsidedefense.com · 2 days agoPicogrid has delivered a new line of rugged, artificial intelligence-powered command and control nodes for forward operating units to the Army, some of which are operating in support of U.S. Central Command operations, according to the…
Hegseth says US forces ‘ready to go’ against Iran after secret Israel visitWIN · 5 days agoDefense Secretary Pete Hegseth confirms he secretly visited Israel for meeting with Netanyahu, says US troops in the region are ready to act against Iran. By David Rosenberg, World Israel News US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said Tuesday…
US Bolsters Middle East Presence as Israel Warns of Expanded Lebanon ManeuverIsrael Defense · 6 days agoThree aircraft carrier strike groups will deploy to the region by November, while Defense Minister Katz warns of permanently expanding Israel's security zone if Hezbollah attacks. The United States is significantly bolstering its military…
War prep in full swing? USS Theodore Roosevelt to arrive in Middle East by November end@theweek · 6 days agoUS aircraft carrier Middle East deployment plans are expanding as the Pentagon sends the USS Theodore Roosevelt strike group and over 10,000 military personnel to the region The US is deploying a third aircraft carrier strike group, the…
US Deploys Another Aircraft Carrier Strike Group to Middle Eastbusinesstimes-bd.com · 6 days agoThe US Department of Defense, known as the Pentagon, is deploying the USS Theodore Roosevelt carrier strike group and the 13th Marine Expeditionary Unit to the Middle East, Fox News reported on Tuesday, citing US officials. Earlier, on…
Trump: "We could walk away from Iran war"JFeed · 6 days agoUS President Donald Trump declines to commit to renewed military action against Iran, claiming we can win this war tomorrow, honestly, we can walk away today, because we've already won Despite a major buildup of American forces in the…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesNov 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$13.7K

This week$1.5K

At stake$3K

In the news7 headlines today, 20 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS George H.W. Bush (CVN-77) is physically located within the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility at 12:00 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The ship's location will be determined by official information from the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, or U.S. European Command, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The ship's location at the specified time may be established by information published after that time. Port calls, temporary stops, or other movements within the CENTCOM area of responsibility will count as being within the area.

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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