US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
67%October 22
- October 2267%▼ 4
- October 2467%▼ 4
- October 2867%▼ 2
6 more
- October 3167%▼ 4
- November 867%▼ 3
- November 1567%
- November 2267%▲ 1
- November 3067%▲ 1
- December 3167%
Install
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
The odds
40%No Next Minister by Feb 28
- No Next Minister by Feb 2840%▲ 5
- Yair Lapid22%▲ 14
- Naftali Bennett11%▲ 1
- Gadi Eizenkot9%▼ 5
- Avigdor Lieberman8%▼ 4
- Israel Katz7%▼ 1
- Gideon Sa’ar3%
- Ron Dermer1%
- Eli Cohen1%▼ 2
- Yoram Cohen1%▲ 1
- Benjamin Netanyahu<1%
- Amir Ohana<1%
3 more
- Yair Golan<1%
- Benny Gantz<1%
- Yossi Cohen<1%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Next Minister by Feb 28 | 40% | ▲ 5 | 40¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | $27.6K |
| Yair Lapid | 22% | ▲ 14 | 22¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | $4.3K |
| Naftali Bennett | 11% | ▲ 1 | 11¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | $3.3K |
| Gadi Eizenkot | 9% | ▼ 5 | 9¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | $24.5K |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 8% | ▼ 4 | 8¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | $8.8K |
| Israel Katz | 7% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | $4.9K |
| Gideon Sa’ar | 3% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $18.87 | $12.4K | |
| Ron Dermer | 1% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | $784 | |
| Eli Cohen | 1% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | 3¢ | $32.26 | $882 |
| Yoram Cohen | 1% | ▲ 1 | 0¢ | 1¢ | $100.00 | $864 |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $503 | ||
| Amir Ohana | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $518 | ||
| Yair Golan | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $505 | ||
| Benny Gantz | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $2K | ||
| Yossi Cohen | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $564 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs, Yair Lapid, Naftali Bennett
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
90%No Hormuz Agreement
- No Hormuz Agreement90%▼ 6
- Hormuz Agreement; D Senate5%▲ 3
- Hormuz Agreement; R Senate3%▲ 1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
38%December 31
- March 3132%▲ 4
- October 3132%▲ 5
- November 3032%▲ 3
1 more
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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
72%October 21
- October 2172%▼ 2
- October 3172%▼ 2
- November 1572%▼ 3
2 more
- November 3072%▲ 2
- December 3172%▲ 3
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
85%No Hormuz Agreement
- No Hormuz Agreement85%▼ 6
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- Hormuz Agreement; R Senate5%▲ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.