US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
62%October 22
- October 2262%▼ 12
- October 2462%▼ 11
- October 2862%▼ 9
6 more
- October 3162%▼ 7
- November 862%▼ 7
- November 1562%▼ 6
- November 2262%▼ 1
- November 3062%
- December 3162%▼ 6
Install
Next Israeli Minister of Finance?
The odds
37%No Next Minister by Feb 28
- No Next Minister by Feb 2837%▲ 3
- Avigdor Lieberman14%▲ 9
- Naftali Bennett14%▲ 3
- Eli Cohen8%▲ 2
- Yair Lapid6%▼ 3
- Yaron Zelekha5%▼ 4
- Israel Katz5%▲ 5
- Bezalel Smotrich5%
- Nir Barkat2%▼ 1
- Shaul Meridor1%▼ 2
- Orit Farkash-Hacohen1%
- Hili Tropper1%▼ 3
4 more
- Yair Golan<1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu<1%
- Gadi Eizenkot<1%
- Moshe Feiglin<1%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Next Minister by Feb 28 | 37% | ▲ 3 | 37¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | $26.7K |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 14% | ▲ 9 | 13¢ | 17¢ | $6.06 | $11.9K |
| Naftali Bennett | 14% | ▲ 3 | 14¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | $6.7K |
| Eli Cohen | 8% | ▲ 2 | 6¢ | 11¢ | $9.43 | $1.8K |
| Yair Lapid | 6% | ▼ 3 | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | $2.8K |
| Yaron Zelekha | 5% | ▼ 4 | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.76 | $5.3K |
| Israel Katz | 5% | ▲ 5 | 0¢ | 10¢ | $9.80 | $1.3K |
| Bezalel Smotrich | 5% | 3¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | $2.8K | |
| Nir Barkat | 2% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $52.63 | $5.6K |
| Shaul Meridor | 1% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | 1¢ | $83.33 | $5.1K |
| Orit Farkash-Hacohen | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $100.00 | $587 | |
| Hili Tropper | 1% | ▼ 3 | 0¢ | 1¢ | $100.00 | $832 |
| Yair Golan | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | $205 | ||
| Benjamin Netanyahu | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $257 | ||
| Gadi Eizenkot | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $236 | ||
| Moshe Feiglin | <1% | 0¢ | $1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Israeli Minister of Finance, Avigdor Lieberman, Naftali Bennett
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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All middle east ›Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
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- Gadi Eizenkot50%▲ 4
- Benjamin Netanyahu28%▼ 1
- Naftali Bennett13%
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- Avigdor Lieberman4%▲ 1
- Itamar Ben Gvir<1%
- Yossi Cohen<1%
- Israel Katz<1%
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- Yair Lapid<1%
- Benny Gantz<1%
- Yair Golan<1%
- Gideon Sa’ar<1%
- Yariv Levin<1%
- Moshe Feiglin<1%
- Ayelet Shaked<1%
- Yoaz Hendel<1%
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- Amir Ohana<1%
- Gilad Erdan<1%
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
90%No Hormuz Agreement
- No Hormuz Agreement90%▼ 6
- Hormuz Agreement; D Senate5%▲ 3
- Hormuz Agreement; R Senate3%▲ 2
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
38%December 31
- March 3132%▲ 4
- October 3132%▲ 5
- November 3032%▲ 3
1 more
- December 3138%▲ 1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
72%October 21
- October 2172%▼ 1
- October 3172%▼ 2
- November 1572%▼ 3
2 more
- November 3072%▲ 2
- December 3172%▲ 2
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
85%No Hormuz Agreement
- No Hormuz Agreement85%▼ 6
- Hormuz Agreement; D Senate8%▲ 3
- Hormuz Agreement; R Senate5%▲ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.