Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
54%Anthropic
- Anthropic54%▲ 1
- Google35%▼ 1
- OpenAI6%
12 more
- Meta1%
- xAI1%
- Alibaba1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Amazon<1%
- Baidu<1%
Install
What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?
The odds
54%↓ $15
Traders see as low as $14.46.
- Reaches $2527%
- Reaches $3027%
- Reaches $503%
- Falls to $1554%
- Falls to $1021%
How the odds have moved
Falls to $10: 14% on Oct 20, 21% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $25 | 27% | ▲ 3 | 13¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | $2.3K |
| ↑ $30 | 27% | ▼ 5 | 15¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | $3.9K |
| ↑ $50 | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | $3.4K | |
| ↓ $10 | 21% | 12¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | $2.2K | |
| ↓ $15 | 54% | ▲ 2 | 33¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | $1.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Anthropic, Claude, Claude Opus
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Anthropic sees 3.6x jump in token volume after Claude Opus 5.5 launchA cheaper, faster model is reportedly driving a surge in usage, even as early testers say each task needs fewer tokens Anthropic’s model token volume has reportedly risen 3.6 times since Claude Opus 5.5 went live. That is a big number for… -
Chinese AI model Kimi K3.1 Pro is closing in on Anthropic's Claude Opus 5.5Moonshot AI's new reasoning model Kimi K3.1 Pro lands at number four on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index, just 3 points behind the top proprietary models. Chinese AI company Moonshot AI has released Kimi K3.1 Pro, a post-trained… -
Claude Opus 5.5 LLM Testing: Benchmark Results, Security Findings, and Cost AnalysisClaude Opus 5.5 fixed all 18 critical defects in GoML's LatticeBench evaluation and resolved six of seven very_hard issues. The evaluation also revealed a surprising weakness: despite its performance on complex security defects, the model… -
Kimi K3.1 Pro API Pricing: Half of Claude Opus 5.5, Same as Sonnet 5.5Moonshot AI released Kimi K3.1 Pro at $2 per 1M input tokens and $10 per 1M output tokens. That matches Claude Sonnet 5.5 and cuts Claude Opus 5.5 pricing in half. For long prompts without tiered pricing penalties, Kimi K3.1 Pro provides… -
Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5.5 tops AI index with 61.7 scoreEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered… -
Is Claude Opus 5.5 nerfed? A 30-day benchmark started the clockThe problem was always the missing starting point. In the README's words: "Nobody has had a clean day-0 baseline to check against, so every argument ends up as vibes versus vibes." Your memory of how good the model felt on launch day is… -
Moonshot AI launches Kimi K3.1 Pro, closing in on Claude Opus 5.5 in coding performanceThe new model scored 65.7% on Terminal Bench 4.0, approaching Claude Opus 5.5 while introducing a one million token context window and expanded agent capabilities. Chinese AI startup Moonshot AI has launched Kimi K3.1 Pro, its latest AI… - New Chinese Kimi K3.1 Pro AI Model Outperforms GPT-6 Astra With Near Claude Opus 5.5 PerformanceMonhot AI's Kimi K3.1 Pro model scores higher than its predecessor and than GPT-6 Astra in AI benchmarks, while extra reasoning and tool calls can offset its lower token rates. Independent evaluator Artificial Analysis measured a jump from…
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Claude Opus 5.5 vs Sonnet 5.5 for coding agents: is Opus worth it?Originally published on the QuickSilver Pro blog. Claude Opus 5.5 costs $1.00 / $5.00 per million tokens on QuickSilver Pro, against $0.50 / $2.50 for Claude Sonnet 5.5. The question for anyone running a coding agent is whether Opus buys… -
Anthropic Launches Claude Duet AI Agent Powered by Claude Opus 5.5Anthropic has announced Claude Duet, a new AI agent built on Claude Opus 5.5 that competes with Meta's Muse and OpenAI's Dots, offering workflow automation for professionals. The landscape of autonomous workflow automation is shifting… -
Claude Opus 5.5 / Sonnet 5.5: 5 settings that return 400 when you only change the model nameClaude Opus 5.5 shipped on September 22, 2026 and Claude Sonnet 5.5 on September 28. If you take code that runs on Opus 5 or Sonnet 5 and change only the model string, one of these five settings will return an HTTP 400. All five are in… -
Claude Duet app is Anthropic's bet on agentsBuy One Founder Summit Ticket, Get a Second for Free. Register now. The AI world is flooded with personal and productivity-based assistants, with new ones launching every week. Now, Anthropic is entering this battle in the hopes of gaining…
Related markets
All ai ›Which company has the best AI model end of October?
87%Google
- Google87%▲ 1
- Anthropic9%
- OpenAI1%
18 more
- Meta<1%
- Alibaba<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Thinky<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Tencent<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
Nov 24, 2026even chance by
- October 3119%▼ 1
- November 1535%▼ 2
- November 3060%▲ 4
2 more
- December 1575%▼ 2
- December 3180%▼ 7
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
Dec 13, 2027even chance by
- December 31, 202613%▼ 2
- December 31, 202752%▲ 1
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2.26Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.26T.
- Reaches $1.5T96%
- Reaches $1.75T84%
- Falls to $800B4%
- Falls to $700B4%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
72%No release by October 31
- No release by October 3172%▲ 9
- October 2715%▼ 1
- October 286%▲ 2
11 more
- October 294%▼ 1
- October 301%▼ 2
- October 201%▼ 12
- October 311%▲ 1
- October 19<1%▼ 2
- October 21<1%▼ 5
- October 22<1%▼ 14
- October 23<1%▼ 4
- October 24<1%
- October 25<1%▼ 1
- October 26<1%▼ 4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions