Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)
189.3median
140230
Median 189.3Middle half 177.4 – 200.9
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When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader?
The odds
23%Before Jul 1, 2027
- Before Nov 1, 20264%▼ 2
- Before Jan 1, 202710%▲ 1
- Before Jul 1, 202723%
How the odds have moved
Before Nov 1, 2026: 6% on Oct 19, 4% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 4% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 1.1K |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 10% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 1.9K |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 23% | 18¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | 204 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Green Party of England and Wales, Zack Polanski, Green
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Zack Polanski says application of Zionism is racist and no state has right to existGreen leader in England and Wales calls ‘debates about words’ unhelpful and denies recent motion was controversial Zack Polanski has said Zionism in its current form is racist, that no country has a right to exist and that the… -
Zack Polanski tells Kuenssberg he will not overturn Green Party's 'Zionism is racism' motionThis live page has now closed - read more in our news story Green Party leader Zack Polanski says he won't overturn the party's "Zionism is racism" motion He tells Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg he wants to see it amended "at the first… -
Green Party’s Zack Polanski says Israel knows 'no right to exist' under international law as criticism mountsZack Polanski, leader of the UK Green Party, claimed that Israel does not automatically have a right to exist under international law, arguing instead that all human beings should have equal rights. His comments came amid calls within the… -
Zack Polanski will not try to overturn Green’s ‘Zionism is racism’ policyGreen Party leader Zack Polanski said he is not going to try to overturn his party’s new “Zionism is racism” policy, but does want to amend it “at the first available opportunity”. Asked on the BBC’s Sunday With Laura Kuenssberg programme… -
Zack Polanski slumps to worst poll rating as Green Party leaderZack Polanski’s poll rating has slumped to its lowest level since he become Green leader, after a “bruising” month that saw him heavily criticised over his party’s “Zionism is racism” policy. A survey by Ipsos in October found 52% of the… -
Zack Polanski won’t overturn Green Party’s ‘Zionism is racism’ motion despite sinking to new polling lowThe Green Party leader revealed he will amend the motion 'at the first opportunity' WATCH: fiery row over 'Zionism is racism' debate Zack Polanski has said he has no intention of overturning the Green Party's controversial "Zionism is… -
Zack Polanski intends to amend ‘Zionism is racism’ policyGREEN Party leader Zack Polanski said he is not going to try to overturn his party’s “Zionism is racism” policy, adding that he wants to amend it “at the first available opportunity”. Polanski has faced both internal and external criticism… -
Why Zack Polanski is becoming unpopular with votersNewswav Why Zack Polanski is becoming unpopular with voters The world’s most free-thinking newspaper - Green Party leader Zack Polanski has recorded his lowest net favourability rating of minus 36 in a recent Ipsos survey. - A majority of… -
Zack Polanski slumps to lowest ever poll rating after ‘bruising’ month for Green PartyThe Green leader has the lowest overall rating of any national party leader WATCH: Patrick Christys SLAMS Zack Polanski after by-election Zack Polanski has slumped to his worst poll rating as Green Party leader amid the row over the… -
Zack Polanski says he won't overturn 'Zionism is racism' policy but will amend it 'at first opportunity'Zack Polanski confirmed he will not overturn the motion but plans to amend it(Image: Jeff Overs/BBC/the Press Association) Zack Polanski has said he does not think his party’s “Zionism is racism” policy is “controversial” but said he wants… -
Zack Polanski's Popularity Hits All-Time Low Amid 'Zionism Is Racism' RowMore than half of voters now have an unfavourable view of the Green Party leader. Zack Polanski’s popularity has slumped to an all-time low amid the row over his party’s “Zionism is racism” policy. For the first time, more than half the… -
Zack Polanski’s poll approval ratings hit new low amid ‘Zionism is racism’ rowinkl Zack Polanski’s poll approval ratings hit new low amid ‘Zionism is racism’ row An Ipsos survey conducted in October revealed that 52 per cent of the public hold an unfavourable view of the Green leader. This represents a six-point…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions