María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
Install
Will a Yosemite land deal with Kingsbarn be announced? (Before Apr 1, 2027)
The odds
Feb 17, 2027even chance by
- Before Dec 1, 202630%
- Before Jan 1, 202740%
- Before Apr 1, 202760%
How the odds have moved
Before Dec 1, 2026: 31% on Oct 19, 30% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 30% | 25¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | ||
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 40% | 35¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 207 | |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 60% | 55¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Yosemite, Kingsbarn
Search ›-
Yosemite National Park in picturesYosemite National Park is known for its granite cliffs, waterfalls, giant sequoias, and alpine scenery. Yosemite Valley is among its best-known landscapes, with landmarks such as Half Dome, El Capitan, and Yosemite Falls. The views vary… -
Yosemite’s green meadows are hiding a 150-year-old problemYosemite's Tuolumne Meadows are losing soil carbon more than a century after heavy sheep grazing, and restoring the damaged ecosystem could take decades. Tuolumne Meadows turns green every June, and many of the 4 million people who visit… - Hydrology of Yosemite National ParkHydrology is the study of water and its interaction with the landscape. Water has shaped the dramatic formations of Yosemite for millions of years and can be seen ... Official websites use .gov Secure .gov websites use HTTPS Hydrology of…
-
Yosemite Bear-Vehicle Crashes at Highest Level in Decade-PlusIf you spent three days in Yosemite this month, odds are a car slammed into a bear while you were there. Since Oct. 1, seven black bears have been hit by vehicles inside the park... Yosemite Bear-Vehicle Crashes at Highest Level in… - Mariposa Crews Push to Reopen Yosemite's 21-Mile River Trail This FallFor now, the exact timeline for when the South Fork Merced River Trail will be fully passable from end to end has not been independently confirmed. What is clear is that the restoration remains active, with volunteers and professional…
-
POLITICO Pro: Yosemite land swap could face legal roadblocksA private developer wants to build a short road into Yosemite, but some experts say plans for a land exchange with the National Park Service could run afoul of a 1978 law. -
Bear collisions are at a 10-year high in Yosemite National ParkFILE: There has been an increase in bears being hit by vehicles in California’s Yosemite National Park in 2026. If you visited Yosemite National Park this month, and stayed for at least three days, it is likely that a bear got hit by a… -
Winter weather advisory affecting Yosemite Wednesday and ThursdayYosemite was placed under an updated winter weather advisory by the National Weather Service on Thursday at 10:28 a.m. The advisory is in effect until 5 p.m. Yosemite was placed under an updated winter weather advisory by the National… -
Snow from Yosemite’s recent storm is melting quickly. But winter is on its wayDespite a layer of snowfall that hit Yosemite over the last few days, and the possibility of a bit more to come through the weekend, winter hasn’t fully revealed itself in the national park yet. ”We are trending there,” according to Sean… -
E-bike battery fires in Yosemite, Grand Canyon trigger Park Service warningLithium-ion batteries are everywhere: in our phones, laptops, smartwatches, wireless headphones and toothbrushes. As they proliferate, so do their dangers of overheating, exploding and sparking fires - including fires in national parks… -
Forget Yosemite, Visit California's Lesser-Known Park With Giant Sequoia Groves And Forest TrailsCalaveras Big Trees State Park is located about two hours away from Yosemite National Park and about 100 miles southeast of the city of Sacramento. It isn't nearly as vast as Yosemite, but it protects two groves (the North Grove and the… -
Winter weather advisory active for Yosemite Wednesday and ThursdayYosemite is included in an updated winter weather advisory issued by the National Weather Service on Wednesday at 9:31 p.m. The advisory is in effect until Thursday Oct. 22, at 11 a.m. Yosemite is included in an updated winter weather…
Related markets
All trump administration ›Trump out as President before 2027?
5%chance▲ 1
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
3%chance
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
35%chance▲ 12
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2%chance
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
98%chance▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions