Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)
189.5median
140230
Median 189.5Middle half 176.8 – 200.8
Install
When will Wales call a snap election?
The odds
14%Before Jan 1, 2028
- Before Jul 1, 20273%
- Before Jan 1, 202814%
How the odds have moved
Before Jul 1, 2027: 3% on Oct 20, 3% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 2.6K | |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 14% | 11¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 7.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Wales, Senedd
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Wales' papers: Serial thief in jail and Boelo batters south WalesA review of the front page stories from the daily and weekly newspapers in Wales. Serial thief in jail and Boelo batters south Wales South Wales Evening Post Travel disruption and power cuts after back-to-back storms Wales needs budget… -
Wales needs budget boost, says finance ministerElin Jones has warned there could be tough times ahead for the Welsh NHS unless Wales gets more money in the budget The Welsh government is facing its worst settlement since before the pandemic unless it gets a cash boost in Wednesday's… -
Serial thief in jail and Boelo batters south WalesPolls remain open in Brazil presidential election after last-minute extension Students like new tenancy freedoms - but landlords warn of higher rents 'Our final chance at parenthood' – why couple filmed One Born Every Minute From Russian… -
Highlights: Japan 0-17 WalesWatch the highlights as Wales secure victory over Japan in Tokyo. Two tries from Seren Lockwood and one from Kelsey Jones earned the win for Sean Lynn's side. The teams will meet again on Saturday, 31 October (07:00 GMT). Up Next. Jones… -
Fantastique - BBC National Orchestra of WalesThis programme traces a journey from momentary spring light to one of the most vivid musical imaginations of the nineteenth century. Opening with Lilli Boulanger’s D’un matin de printemps, which captures the energy of a spring morning… -
Wales deputy helps Ospreys make themselves at homeReuben Morgan-Williams came off the Wales bench against South Africa twice and Barbarians last season With three wins in a row and back at their St Helen's home, Ospreys are Wales' buoyant side with one round to play in the first block of… -
Lockwood seals Wales win in JapanScrum-half Seren Lockwood scored two tries as Wales beat Japan 17-0 in Tokyo in the WXV Series. This victory also marked the first time since November 2018 that Wales have finished a match without conceding a point. Lockwood seals Wales… -
The Army Officer playing for Wales at a World CupJade Mullen is the captain of the Army rugby union team Jade Mullen's journey to the Women's Rugby League World Cup has been an unconventional one. A last-minute code switch within the sport allowed her to earn a place in Wales' squad for… -
Why winning ugly is just as important for WalesWales are currently ranked 11th in the world having dropped to an all-time low of 13th in September Wales set out their intention of returning to the world's top six before the start of their two Test series against Japan. And while their… -
Wales great Faletau suffers fresh injury blowTaulupe Faletau made his Wales debut in 2011 Wales number eight Taulupe Faletau has been sidelined again after an injury blow on his Cardiff comeback. The 35-year-old made his first appearance since March in the Champions Cup defeat by… -
Wales grind out frustrating WXV win against JapanWales have claimed victory in all three Tests against Japan Tries: Lockwood 2, K Jones Con: Bell Wales ground out a win over Japan in tricky Tokyo conditions to secure a second victory of their WXV campaign. Swirling wind, rain and… -
Lockwood opens scoring for Wales in JapanScrum-half Seren Lockwood opened the scoring for Wales in Tokyo as they took a 7-0 lead into half-time against Japan in their WXV contest. Wales had an early try ruled out for obstruction before Lockwood's third international try gave…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions