Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
China / Chinese
100%
99¢
4.7K
Tariff (3+ times)
100%
99¢
7.1K
Nuclear (3+ times)
100%
99¢
12.5K
Supreme Court
100%
99¢
3.4K
Iran (5+ times)
100%
99¢
19.9K
Kamala
100%
99¢
11.0K
Hormuz
100%
99¢
6.3K
Ilhan / Omar
100%
99¢
20.5K
Blockade
100%
99¢
9.1K
America First
100%
99¢
19.9K
Ceasefire
100%
99¢
37.7K
Save America Act
98%
97¢
99¢
$1.01
51.9K
Made in America / American Made
63%
62¢
64¢
$1.56
5.6K
Russia / Ukraine
57%
57¢
58¢
$1.72
4.9K
Veteran
50%
29¢
45¢
$2.22
6.8K
ICE
49%
48¢
50¢
$2.00
4.1K
Gulf of America
33%
30¢
41¢
$2.44
10.3K
Fraud (3+ times)
27%
23¢
30¢
$3.33
11.2K
Insurance
24%
19¢
29¢
$3.45
8.9K
Elon / Musk
22%
21¢
22¢
$4.55
9.1K
Social Security (5+ times)
17%
15¢
18¢
$5.56
9.8K
Drill Baby Drill
17%
15¢
18¢
$5.56
3.8K
Electricity
16%
14¢
17¢
$5.88
5.6K
Israel / Israeli
14%
13¢
14¢
$7.14
7.9K
Trump Account
13%
12¢
14¢
$7.14
9.2K
Data Center
12%
9¢
15¢
$6.67
16.7K
Palestine / Palestinian
11%
8¢
13¢
$7.69
9.6K
Hegseth
10%
6¢
13¢
$7.69
4.6K
Fentanyl
9%
8¢
9¢
$11.11
11.7K
Deport / Deported / Deportation
8%
7¢
9¢
$11.11
22.5K
Windmill
6%
3¢
9¢
$11.11
3.1K
AI / Artificial Intelligence
6%
5¢
6¢
$16.67
14.4K
Crypto / Bitcoin
1%
1¢
$100.00
64.2K
Peace in the Middle East
1%
1¢
$100.00
57.3K
Event does not qualify
1%
1¢
$100.00
17.7K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions