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Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? (2027)
The odds
30%Lana Nusseibeh
- Lana Nusseibeh30%▼ 38
- Rafael Grossi16%
- Rebeca Grynspan13%▲ 2
- Nickolay Mladenov11%
- Mia Mottley1%
- Alicia Bárcena1%
- Amina J. Mohammed1%
- Michelle Bachelet1%
- Gianni Infantino1%
- Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett1%▼ 1
- Macky Sall1%
- Olara Otunnu1%
3 more
- Sigrid Kaag1%
- Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés1%
- Ivonne A-Baki1%
How the odds have moved
Lana Nusseibeh: 9% on Oct 20, 30% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 24, 9 PM ETLana Nusseibeh: 48% → 30%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
- Oct 21, 7 PM ETLana Nusseibeh: 27% → 36%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lana Nusseibeh | 30% | ▼ 38 | 19¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | 10.5K |
| Rafael Grossi | 16% | 15¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 34.8K | |
| Rebeca Grynspan | 13% | ▲ 2 | 10¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 34.0K |
| Nickolay Mladenov | 11% | 7¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 6.1K | |
| Mia Mottley | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 3.1K | ||
| Alicia Bárcena | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 967 | ||
| Amina J. Mohammed | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 4.9K | ||
| Michelle Bachelet | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 10.4K | ||
| Gianni Infantino | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 464 | ||
| Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett | 1% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | $50.00 | 2.2K | |
| Macky Sall | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 45.00 | ||
| Olara Otunnu | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 279 | ||
| Sigrid Kaag | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 2.5K | ||
| Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 15.0K | ||
| Ivonne A-Baki | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 802 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: UN Secretary-General, Lana Nusseibeh, Rafael Grossi
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UAE nominates Lana Nusseibeh to become next UN secretary-generalBorn in 1978, Nusseibeh is an Emirati citizen whose family traces their roots to one of the most prominent Muslim dynasties in Jerusalem. The UAE nominated Minister of State for Foreign Affairs Lana Nusseibeh to become the next UN… -
UAE Nominates Lana Nusseibeh for UN Secretary-GeneralThe United Arab Emirates has officially nominated Lana Zaki Nusseibeh, Minister of State, for the position of UN Secretary-General. UAE Nominates Lana Nusseibeh for UN Secretary-General The United Arab Emirates has formally announced the… -
UAE Minister Lana Nusseibeh Joins Tight UN Secretary-General RaceUnited Nations, Oct 22 – In a significant development for global diplomacy, the United Arab Emirates has formally nominated ... - Latest News. Find Breaking Headlines, Current and Latest international news at Lokmattimes.com United… -
UAE's Lana Nusseibeh enters race to be next UN secretary generalUAE Minister of State Lana Nusseibeh has entered the race to become the next UN secretary general. State media agency Wam reported on Wednesday that Ms Nusseibeh would be joining the list of candidates for the role leading the world body… -
Kazakhstan Backs UAE Nominee Lana Nusseibeh for UN Secretary-GeneralBy Ayana Birbayeva in International on 23 October 2026 ASTANA – Kazakhstan has expressed support for the United Arab Emirates’ nomination of diplomat Lana Zaki Nusseibeh for the post of United Nations secretary-general, Kazakhstan’s… -
Lana Nusseibeh announces candidacy: How is a UN Secretary-General selected?Thu, Oct 22, 2026 | Jumada al-Awwal 10, 1448 | Fajr 05:03|DXB 32.1°C Lana Nusseibeh, a UAE diplomat who once was the nation's face at the UN, announced her candidacy for the position of UN General Secretary on Thursday. In the latest… -
Who is Lana Nusseibeh, the UAE's candidate for UN Secretary-General?Lana Nusseibeh defended the Abraham Accords just weeks before they were signed, saying that previous attitudes toward Israel hadn't achieved anything Lana Nusseibeh grew up between the UK and Abu Dhabi, where her father Zaki worked as a… - UAE nominates diplomat Lana Nusseibeh for UN secretary-generalThe race to lead the United Nations now has seven candidates after the United Arab Emirates nominated diplomat Lana Nusseibeh to succeed Secretary-General António Guterres. The announcement was reported Wednesday evening by AFP. Guterres…
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Meet Lana Nusseibeh: From UAE diplomat to UN Secretary-General candidateThu, Oct 22, 2026 | Jumada al-Awwal 10, 1448 | Fajr 05:03|DXB 30.1°C For years, Lana Nusseibeh was the face of the UAE at the UN in New York. She served as the country's Permanent Representative for over 10 years, becoming a strong… - UAE nominates top diplomat Lana Nusseibeh for UN secretary-generalABU DHABI — The United Arab Emirates has nominated Lana Nusseibeh, a former ambassador to the United Nations, to succeed Antonio Guterres as UN secretary-general. The UAE’s Foreign Ministry announced its nomination of Nusseibeh on…
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UAE's Lana Nusseibeh announces candidacy for UN Secretary-GeneralThu, Oct 22, 2026 | Jumada al-Awwal 10, 1448 | Fajr 05:03|DXB 29.6°C Lana Nusseibeh, UAE Minister of State and Envoy to the UN and EU, has announced her candidacy to become the next UN Secretary-General, following her formal nomination by… - UAE's Lana Nusseibeh expected to enter candidate race for UN secretary-generalDiplomatic sources in New York told The Jerusalem Post on Wednesday that they expect an official announcement soon that the United Arab Emirates has put forward Ambassador Lana Nusseibeh as a candidate for the next United Nations…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.