Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)
189.3median
140230
Median 189.3Middle half 174.1 – 201.4
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When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax?
The odds
36%Before Apr 6, 2028
- Before Nov 1, 20267%
- Before Apr 6, 202728%▲ 1
- Before Apr 6, 202836%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Before Nov 1, 2026: 11% on Oct 19, 7% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 7% | 3¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 417 | |
| Before Apr 6, 2027 | 28% | ▲ 1 | 24¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 233 |
| Before Apr 6, 2028 | 36% | ▲ 1 | 32¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | 4.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Digital
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WCCO digital headlines: Afternoon of Oct. 23, 2026CBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. WCCO digital… -
Parents and digital overconsumption with Dr. Zelana MontminyCBS News Los Angeles is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KCAL-TV and channel 9, CBS News Los Angeles offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Parents and… -
SMX is giving physical materials a digital identityA digital record can describe a product, but how can a manufacturer know the physical material matches the information attached? That question is at the center of a growing challenge in global supply chains. SMX (Security Matters) PLC is… -
Major museums, businesses shutter in France as massive protests expected | Live Updates from Fox News DigitalFrench Interior Minister Laurent Nuñez said helicopters, armored vehicles and water cannons will be deployed alongside police nationwide as France braces for another wave of anti-government protests that resulted in rioting and looting… -
WCCO digital headlines: Afternoon of Oct. 22, 2026CBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. WCCO digital… -
Trump in Georgia, Michigan this weekend ahead of 2026 midterm elections | Live Updates from Fox News DigitalPresident Donald Trump will rally in Perry, Georgia, on Saturday and Port Huron, Michigan, on Sunday as he attempts to boost Republican candidates ahead of the 2026 midterm elections on Nov. 3. Georgia Republican gubernatorial candidate… -
Watch CNBC's full interview with Western Digital CEO Irving TanIrving Tan, Western Digital CEO, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss earnings, stock price, AI demand, and more. Got a confidential news tip? We want to hear from you. Sign up for free newsletters and get ... Watch CNBC's full interview with… -
U.S. crypto delays hand digital asset advantage to Asia and Middle East, says Apex Group CEOThe U.S. risks losing digital asset business to Asia and the Middle East if it continues to delay crypto legislation or fails to implement a clear, certain regulatory framework for digital assets, said Peter Hughes, founder and CEO of Apex… -
Kimberly Samra, Google security expert, discusses digital safetyCBS News Los Angeles is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KCAL-TV and channel 9, CBS News Los Angeles offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Kimberly… -
Fox News Digital's News Quiz: October 23, 2026Fox News Channel offers its audiences in-depth news reporting, along with opinion and analysis encompassing the principles of free people, free markets and diversity of thought, as an alternative to the left-of-center offerings of the news… -
Western Digital beats on revenue and earnings, raises dividend 17%CNBC Western Digital beats on revenue and earnings, raises dividend 17% -
Sweden’s central bank revives e-krona debate as stablecoins and digital euro loomSweden’s central bank is calling for lawmakers to reconsider a digital krona, warning that foreign-currency stablecoins and a planned digital euro could erode the currency’s role in payments. An e-krona would give the public access to…
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All world leaders ›Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)
293.8median
250340
Median 293.8Middle half 280.8 – 308.3
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
197.3median
160230
Median 197.3Middle half 189.8 – 202.8
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Feb 16, 2028even chance by
- Before Nov 1, 20261%▼ 1
- Before Dec 1, 20265%
- Before Jan 1, 20277%
14 more
- Before Feb 1, 20279%▼ 1
- Before Mar 1, 202714%▼ 1
- Before Apr 1, 202717%▼ 1
- Before May 1, 202719%▼ 2
- Before Jun 1, 202725%
- Before Jul 1, 202731%
- Before Aug 1, 202733%
- Before Sep 1, 202734%▼ 1
- Before Oct 1, 202737%
- Before Nov 1, 202741%
- Before Dec 1, 202741%
- Before Jan 1, 202848%▼ 1
- Before Jul 1, 202857%
- Before Jan 1, 202960%
Will France declare a state of emergency? (Before Jan 1, 2027)
18%Before Jan 1, 2027
- Before Nov 1, 20265%▼ 7
- Before Jan 1, 202718%▼ 2
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/26 - 11/1)
192.8median
160230
Median 192.8Middle half 185.7 – 202.7
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions