Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Dividend / Stimulus
100%
▲ 1
99¢
13.2K
Filibuster
100%
▲ 16
99¢
2.2K
E15
100%
▲ 25
99¢
5.8K
Fannie Mae / Freddie Mac
100%
▲ 36
99¢
2.3K
✓ Greenland
99%
▲ 8
$1.01
6.0K
Eli Lilly
91%
▲ 10
88¢
94¢
$1.06
269
Aluminum
89%
▲ 1
86¢
92¢
$1.09
42.00
Rare Earth
87%
▲ 4
73¢
84¢
$1.19
219
UFC
86%
▼ 4
81¢
91¢
$1.10
153
Ceasefire
86%
▲ 4
81¢
91¢
$1.10
189
Zohran / Mamdani
81%
▼ 7
80¢
81¢
$1.23
258
Nvidia
80%
▼ 2
78¢
89¢
$1.12
613
Ozempic / GLP-1
78%
▲ 19
68¢
79¢
$1.27
189
Whistleblower
73%
▲ 14
59¢
72¢
$1.39
167
Autism
73%
▼ 18
68¢
77¢
$1.30
152
TrumpRx
57%
▼ 11
54¢
65¢
$1.54
111
Refinance / Refinanced / Refinancing
42%
▲ 7
39¢
52¢
$1.92
67.00
Stablecoin
35%
▼ 3
13¢
35¢
$2.86
28.00
Golden Dome
34%
▼ 14
31¢
37¢
$2.70
161
SMR / Small Modular Reactor
23%
▲ 1
11¢
23¢
$4.35
57.00
Manufactured Housing
19%
▼ 4
8¢
19¢
$5.26
55.00
Peptide
15%
▼ 2
11¢
19¢
$5.26
488
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Trump delivers final campaign pitch in IowaFox News · 19 h agoPresident Donald Trump reflects on his campaign blitz, speaking at 29 rallies across the country over 32 days. Trump delivers final campaign pitch in Iowa President Donald Trump reflects on his campaign blitz, speaking at 29 rallies across…
Trump’s Cuban Revolution Is Stuck in LimboNewsweek · 3 h agoNov 02, 2026 at 05:22 AM EST Time travel doesn’t exist as far as we know, but take a visit to Cuba and you’ll certainly feel like you’re stepping into history. The U.S. has maintained an economic embargo on the island just 90 miles off its…
Mike Johnson does impression of Trump | CNN PoliticsCNN · 18 h agoHouse Speaker Mike Johnson impersonated President Donald Trump while speaking at a rally in Dubuque, Iowa. Texas Senate candidate James Talarico accuses Republican rival Ken Paxton of serving "billionaire megadonors" like Elon Musk, who…
Harris criticizes Trump, rallies Georgia Democrats before electionCBS News · 7 h agoFormer Vice President Kamala Harris criticized the Trump administration and urged support for Keisha Lance Bottoms and Sen. Jon Ossoff during a Fulton County Democratic Committee fundraising dinner. CBS News Atlanta’s Emily McLeod reports…
Trump makes final push to keep Iowa redFox News · 7 h agoRep. Zach Nunn, R-Iowa, discusses President Donald Trump's rally in his state as he delivers his final message ahead of the upcoming midterm elections. Trump makes final push to keep Iowa red Rep. Zach Nunn, R-Iowa, discusses President…
Judge dismisses Trump lawsuit in Alaska Senate raceNBC News · 19 h agoA federal judge on Sunday rejected the Trump administration’s lawsuit that demanded officials not certify election results in the Senate race there, if the incumbent senator loses. NBC News’ Steve Patterson reports. Steve Kornacki breaks…
Inside Trump and Vance’s final-week sprintPOLITICO · 17 h agoYour guide to Donald Trump’s unprecedented overhaul of the federal government. By SOPHIA CAI, BEN JOHANSEN and ELLEIANA GREEN 10/30/2026 05:20 PM EDT Welcome to POLITICO's West Wing Playbook: Remaking Government, your guide to Donald…
How Arab Gulf states view Trump's Iran war planNPR · 9 h agoNPR's Leila Fadel speaks with geopolitical analyst H.A. Hellyer about the view from Arab Gulf states of Trump's Iran war plan. How Arab Gulf states view Trump's Iran war plan NPR's Leila Fadel speaks with geopolitical analyst H.A. Hellyer…
Ukraine targets Russian oil refineries despite Trump warningFox News · 21 h agoFox News chief foreign correspondent Trey Yingst reports from Ukraine on the impact of the war on civilians and more. The 'Fox News Sunday' panel also weighs in. Ukraine targets Russian oil refineries despite Trump warning Fox News chief…
Iowans consider Trump's broken promises on Iran war before midtermsCBS News · 4 h agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Iowa considers…
Trump's promise: Economic boom. Pardons, Mr. Veto, & a 3rd termNew York Post · 5 h agoTrump is fired up in this election-eve exclusive with Miranda, fresh off his final rallies and wishing he had a third term. The polls are wrong, he says, and the “hottest country in the world” will boom. He’ll be Mr Veto and pardon…
Rubio: Trump is READY FOR WAR with IranFox News · 22 h agoFox News Rubio: Trump is READY FOR WAR with Iran Secretary of State Marco Rubio says that President Donald Trump prefers peace in Iran, but is prepared for war.
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions