What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions?
KalshiMentions › PoliticiansCloses Nov 18 · $6.9K today · $15.3K traded · $12.3K at stake · prices read 25 min ago
The odds
76%Iran / Iranian
Iran / Iranian76%▲ 27
EU / European Union68%▲ 2
Brexit62%▲ 22
Energy62%▼ 5
Russia / Russian55%▲ 16
Reform53%▲ 14
Ukraine / Ukrainian51%▼ 9
Budget49%▼ 5
Benefit / Welfare49%▲ 1
Immigrant / Immigration48%▲ 13
NHS / Healthcare41%▲ 31
Tax40%▼ 25
6 more
NATO34%▼ 19
Afford / Affordable / Affordability27%▼ 11
Trump26%▼ 10
AI / Artificial Intelligence10%▲ 1
Event does not qualify7%▼ 38
China / Chinese7%▼ 2
How the odds have moved
Iran / Iranian: 28% on Oct 28, 76% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Nov 2, 2 PM ETIran / Iranian: 49% → 76%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Iran / Iranian
76%
▲ 27
58¢
71¢
$1.41
125
EU / European Union
68%
▲ 2
67¢
69¢
$1.45
3.7K
Brexit
62%
▲ 22
58¢
66¢
$1.52
38.00
Energy
62%
▼ 5
59¢
64¢
$1.56
89.00
Russia / Russian
55%
▲ 16
51¢
58¢
$1.72
12.00
Reform
53%
▲ 14
48¢
57¢
$1.75
96.00
Ukraine / Ukrainian
51%
▼ 9
48¢
53¢
$1.89
5.7K
Budget
49%
▼ 5
48¢
50¢
$2.00
12.6K
Benefit / Welfare
49%
▲ 1
47¢
51¢
$1.96
7.1K
Immigrant / Immigration
48%
▲ 13
46¢
50¢
$2.00
19.00
NHS / Healthcare
41%
▲ 31
23¢
34¢
$2.94
23.00
Tax
40%
▼ 25
36¢
44¢
$2.27
53.00
NATO
34%
▼ 19
30¢
38¢
$2.63
17.00
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
27%
▼ 11
26¢
27¢
$3.70
19.00
Trump
26%
▼ 10
24¢
28¢
$3.57
11.00
AI / Artificial Intelligence
10%
▲ 1
6¢
13¢
$7.69
2.00
Event does not qualify
7%
▼ 38
5¢
9¢
$11.11
437
China / Chinese
7%
▼ 2
3¢
10¢
$10.00
1.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: UK House of Commons, Prime Minister's Questions, Andy Burnham
No10 defends flight to Manchester to collect Andy BurnhamBBC News · 3 h agoAndy Burnham and his wife took the plane to the United Nations in the US in September Downing Street has defended sending the official UK government plane to Manchester to pick up Andy Burnham, rather than the prime minister travelling to…
How Rachel Reeves has mapped out economic agenda for Andy Burnham’s governmentthe Guardian · 26 h agoOn Brexit, devolution and investment, the former chancellor is eerily in tune with the man who sacked her Reeves says UK’s future is in the EU Which senior politician has argued that “Brexit did deep damage” and that the government seeks…
Andy Burnham backs Journalism Matters campaign on democracyThe National · 9 h agoJournalism is a vital part of our national infrastructure. Prime Minister Andy Burnham has spoken out in support of the Journalism Matters campaign, emphasising the crucial role of news media in democracy, accountability, and community…
Andy Burnham suffers Budget blow as voters deliver savage verdictExpress.co.uk · 4 h agoAndy Burnham’s first Budget was a flop with the public, who saw it as “tinkering” and do not believe it will help with the cost of living, cut their energy bills or provide enough funding for defence. And voters believe the Prime Minister…
Andy Burnham could give UK taxpayers' cash to Caribbean nations over slaveryExpress.co.uk · 4 h agoAndy Burnham is reportedly considering forking out more taxpayers' cash to other countries to atone for Britain's role in the slave trade. The Prime Minister is said to be open to boosting financial assistance to Commonwealth nations…
Ed Miliband backs Andy Burnham over formal UK slavery apologyExpress.co.uk · 7 h agoEd Miliband has backed Andy Burnham as the Prime Minister considers a formal apology for Britain’s role in the slave trade. The Labour leader said he was “open” to calls for an official apology on behalf of the state before he flew to the…
No 10 issues defence of Andy Burnham's London to Manchester flightThe National · 6 h agoDOWNING Street has been forced to defended flying the Prime Minister’s plane to Manchester to pick up Andy Burnham on the way to the Commonwealth leaders’ summit in the Caribbean. The flight took off from London Stansted at around 6am for…
Andy Burnham declines to say whether immigration is too highThe Standard · 8 h agoAndy Burnham has declined to say whether he thinks migration levels are too high as Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood prepared to set out sweeping reforms to the system. The Prime Minister said it was “difficult to say” whether legal…
Downing Street denies Andy Burnham is poised for slave trade payoutsThe Independent · 10 h agoIt comes as the prime minister has said he is willing to consider an apology for the UK’s historic involvement in the slave trade Downing Street has denied claims that Andy Burnham is moving towards some payouts to recognise Britain’s…
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