What countries will Trump say in November? (Before Dec 1, 2026)

Kalshi Mentions › Politicians Closes Dec 1 · $6.3K today · $7K traded · $6.7K at stake · prices read 31 min ago

The odds

100%Japan / Japanese
  • Japan / Japanese100%▲ 18
  • Saudi Arabia / Saudi Arabian100%
  • Mexico / Mexican100%▲ 2
  • France / French100%▲ 3
  • Germany / German100%▲ 5
  • South Korea / South Korean100%
  • Denmark / Danish100%▲ 19
  • Afghanistan / Afghan100%▲ 3
  • Somalia / Somali100%▲ 1
  • Cuba / Cuban99%▲ 27
  • Congo / Congolese99%▲ 13
  • Brazil / Brazilian98%
24 more
  • Colombia / Colombian98%▲ 1
  • North Korea / North Korean98%▲ 16
  • Egypt / Egyptian97%
  • Spain / Spanish97%▼ 1
  • India / Indian95%
  • Italy / Italian94%▼ 1
  • Taiwan / Taiwanese94%
  • Poland / Polish90%▲ 10
  • Ireland / Irish90%▼ 2
  • Palestine / Palestinian89%▲ 17
  • Panama / Panamanian88%
  • UAE / United Arab Emirates86%▼ 4
  • Argentina / Argentinian85%
  • Australia / Australian83%▼ 5
  • Yemen / Yemeni70%▲ 7
  • Turkey / Turkish68%▼ 27
  • Kuwait / Kuwaiti64%▲ 6
  • Bahrain / Bahraini59%▲ 13
  • South Africa / South African39%▲ 7
  • Hungary / Hungarian32%▼ 14
  • Sudan / Sudanese30%▼ 10
  • Iceland / Icelandic30%▲ 10
  • Paraguay / Paraguayan16%
  • Belgium / Belgian4%▼ 28

How the odds have moved

Japan / Japanese: 100% on Nov 2, 100% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Japan / Japanese 100% ▲ 18 99¢ 193
Saudi Arabia / Saudi Arabian 100% 99¢
Mexico / Mexican 100% ▲ 2 99¢
France / French 100% ▲ 3 99¢ 2.5K
Germany / German 100% ▲ 5 99¢
South Korea / South Korean 100% 99¢
Denmark / Danish 100% ▲ 19 99¢ 435
Afghanistan / Afghan 100% ▲ 3 99¢ 52.00
Somalia / Somali 100% ▲ 1 99¢ 164
✓ Canada / Canadian 99% $1.01 2.5K
Cuba / Cuban 99% ▲ 27 73¢ $1.01 9.00
Congo / Congolese 99% ▲ 13 97¢ $1.02 286
Brazil / Brazilian 98% 81¢ 98¢ $1.02
Colombia / Colombian 98% ▲ 1 80¢ 98¢ $1.02 80.00
North Korea / North Korean 98% ▲ 16 72¢ $1.02 57.00
Egypt / Egyptian 97% 95¢ 99¢ $1.01 2.00
Spain / Spanish 97% ▼ 1 95¢ 98¢ $1.02 2.00
India / Indian 95% 90¢ $1.05
Italy / Italian 94% ▼ 1 90¢ 98¢ $1.02 2.00
Taiwan / Taiwanese 94% 85¢ 96¢ $1.04 5.00
Poland / Polish 90% ▲ 10 80¢ $1.11 63.00
Ireland / Irish 90% ▼ 2 55¢ 93¢ $1.08 1.00
Palestine / Palestinian 89% ▲ 17 72¢ 97¢ $1.03 118
Panama / Panamanian 88% 58¢ 75¢ $1.33 75.00
UAE / United Arab Emirates 86% ▼ 4 65¢ 82¢ $1.22 12.00
Argentina / Argentinian 85% 70¢ 84¢ $1.19 27.00
Australia / Australian 83% ▼ 5 79¢ 99¢ $1.01 76.00
Yemen / Yemeni 70% ▲ 7 58¢ 69¢ $1.45 473
Turkey / Turkish 68% ▼ 27 68¢ 87¢ $1.15 4.00
Kuwait / Kuwaiti 64% ▲ 6 50¢ 61¢ $1.64 8.00
Bahrain / Bahraini 59% ▲ 13 41¢ 57¢ $1.75 5.00
South Africa / South African 39% ▲ 7 23¢ 35¢ $2.86 30.00
Hungary / Hungarian 32% ▼ 14 29¢ 35¢ $2.86 182
Sudan / Sudanese 30% ▼ 10 15¢ 31¢ $3.23 8.00
Iceland / Icelandic 30% ▲ 10 4¢ 34¢ $2.94 30.00
Paraguay / Paraguayan 16% 4¢ 15¢ $6.67 1.00
Belgium / Belgian 4% ▼ 28 4¢ 16¢ $6.25 288

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Trump

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  • Trump delivers final campaign pitch in IowaFox News · 19 h agoPresident Donald Trump reflects on his campaign blitz, speaking at 29 rallies across the country over 32 days. Trump delivers final campaign pitch in Iowa President Donald Trump reflects on his campaign blitz, speaking at 29 rallies across…
  • Trump’s Cuban Revolution Is Stuck in LimboNewsweek · 3 h agoNov 02, 2026 at 05:22 AM EST Time travel doesn’t exist as far as we know, but take a visit to Cuba and you’ll certainly feel like you’re stepping into history. The U.S. has maintained an economic embargo on the island just 90 miles off its…
  • Mike Johnson does impression of Trump | CNN PoliticsCNN · 18 h agoHouse Speaker Mike Johnson impersonated President Donald Trump while speaking at a rally in Dubuque, Iowa. Texas Senate candidate James Talarico accuses Republican rival Ken Paxton of serving "billionaire megadonors" like Elon Musk, who…
  • Harris criticizes Trump, rallies Georgia Democrats before electionCBS News · 7 h agoFormer Vice President Kamala Harris criticized the Trump administration and urged support for Keisha Lance Bottoms and Sen. Jon Ossoff during a Fulton County Democratic Committee fundraising dinner. CBS News Atlanta’s Emily McLeod reports…
  • Trump makes final push to keep Iowa redFox News · 7 h agoRep. Zach Nunn, R-Iowa, discusses President Donald Trump's rally in his state as he delivers his final message ahead of the upcoming midterm elections. Trump makes final push to keep Iowa red Rep. Zach Nunn, R-Iowa, discusses President…
  • Judge dismisses Trump lawsuit in Alaska Senate raceNBC News · 19 h agoA federal judge on Sunday rejected the Trump administration’s lawsuit that demanded officials not certify election results in the Senate race there, if the incumbent senator loses. NBC News’ Steve Patterson reports. Steve Kornacki breaks…
  • Inside Trump and Vance’s final-week sprintPOLITICO · 17 h agoYour guide to Donald Trump’s unprecedented overhaul of the federal government. By SOPHIA CAI, BEN JOHANSEN and ELLEIANA GREEN 10/30/2026 05:20 PM EDT Welcome to POLITICO's West Wing Playbook: Remaking Government, your guide to Donald…
  • How Arab Gulf states view Trump's Iran war planNPR · 9 h agoNPR's Leila Fadel speaks with geopolitical analyst H.A. Hellyer about the view from Arab Gulf states of Trump's Iran war plan. How Arab Gulf states view Trump's Iran war plan NPR's Leila Fadel speaks with geopolitical analyst H.A. Hellyer…
  • Ukraine targets Russian oil refineries despite Trump warningFox News · 21 h agoFox News chief foreign correspondent Trey Yingst reports from Ukraine on the impact of the war on civilians and more. The 'Fox News Sunday' panel also weighs in. Ukraine targets Russian oil refineries despite Trump warning Fox News chief…
  • Iowans consider Trump's broken promises on Iran war before midtermsCBS News · 4 h agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Iowa considers…
  • Trump's promise: Economic boom. Pardons, Mr. Veto, & a 3rd termNew York Post · 5 h agoTrump is fired up in this election-eve exclusive with Miranda, fresh off his final rallies and wishing he had a third term. The polls are wrong, he says, and the “hottest country in the world” will boom. He’ll be Mr Veto and pardon…
  • Rubio: Trump is READY FOR WAR with IranFox News · 22 h agoFox News Rubio: Trump is READY FOR WAR with Iran Secretary of State Marco Rubio says that President Donald Trump prefers peace in Iran, but is prepared for war.

Related markets

All politicians ›

What will Trump say in November? (Before Dec 1, 2026)

100%Dividend / Stimulus
  • Dividend / Stimulus100%▲ 1
  • Filibuster100%▲ 16
  • E15100%▲ 25
18 more
  • Fannie Mae / Freddie Mac100%▲ 36
  • Eli Lilly91%▲ 10
  • Aluminum89%▲ 1
  • Rare Earth87%▲ 4
  • UFC86%▼ 4
  • Ceasefire86%▲ 4
  • Zohran / Mamdani81%▼ 7
  • Nvidia80%▼ 2
  • Ozempic / GLP-178%▲ 19
  • Whistleblower73%▲ 14
  • Autism73%▼ 18
  • TrumpRx57%▼ 11
  • Refinance / Refinanced / Refinancing42%▲ 7
  • Stablecoin35%▼ 3
  • Golden Dome34%▼ 14
  • SMR / Small Modular Reactor23%▲ 1
  • Manufactured Housing19%▼ 4
  • Peptide15%▼ 2
KalshiCloses Dec 1 · $30K today

What companies will Trump say in November? (Before Dec 1, 2026)

100%Apple / AAPL
  • Apple / AAPL100%
  • Intel / INTC100%▲ 8
  • New York Times / NYT100%▲ 5
48 more
  • Boeing100%▲ 4
  • Deere100%▲ 49
  • Google / GOOG / GOOGL100%▲ 5
  • Toyota100%▲ 7
  • Merck100%▲ 28
  • Fox News99%▲ 1
  • X / Twitter98%▲ 18
  • MS NOW / MSNBC97%
  • Pfizer / PFE96%▲ 1
  • Uber95%▲ 34
  • General Motors / GM94%▼ 3
  • Meta92%▲ 19
  • UFC91%▲ 4
  • Microsoft / MSFT88%▲ 10
  • TikTok81%▲ 3
  • Amazon / AMZN80%
  • Eli Lilly / LLY80%▼ 14
  • BBC74%▲ 10
  • Dell67%
  • TSMC / TSM66%▲ 11
  • Mercedes / Mercedes-Benz64%▼ 5
  • Honda / HMC57%▼ 13
  • Micron / MU56%▼ 14
  • Chevron / CVX53%
  • Anthropic / Claude52%▲ 21
  • IBM52%▲ 4
  • Turning Point49%▲ 4
  • SpaceX / SPCX48%▲ 7
  • ExxonMobil / XOM44%
  • Caterpillar44%▲ 18
  • Tesla / TSLA43%▲ 24
  • ChatGPT / OpenAI43%▲ 6
  • Paramount / PSKY42%▲ 10
  • Hyundai / HYMTF41%▼ 20
  • DoorDash / DASH38%
  • AMD38%▲ 2
  • Netflix / NFLX38%▲ 12
  • BlackRock31%▲ 5
  • JPMorgan / JPM31%▲ 10
  • Saronic28%
  • eBay24%▼ 2
  • Airbnb / ABNB23%
  • Verizon22%▲ 11
  • Oracle / ORCL18%
  • Mastercard17%▲ 1
  • Qualcomm / QCOM16%
  • Texas Instruments8%▼ 19
  • Rigetti / RGTI8%▼ 14
KalshiCloses Dec 1 · $28K today

What nicknames will Trump say before 2027?

99%Marjorie Traitor Greene
  • Marjorie Traitor Greene99%
  • Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck76%▲ 14
  • Slopadopolous / Slopadopolus70%
8 more
  • Piggy54%▼ 4
  • Low Energy46%▲ 12
  • Fat Slob38%▲ 4
  • Little Communist23%▲ 7
  • Rocket Man13%
  • Comrade Kamala12%
  • Biden Crime Family11%▲ 1
  • Fake Tapper11%▲ 2
KalshiCloses Jan 1, 2027 · $8.1K today

What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions?

76%Iran / Iranian
  • Iran / Iranian76%▲ 27
  • Brexit70%▲ 33
  • Ukraine / Ukrainian69%▲ 5
15 more
  • Benefit / Welfare65%▲ 18
  • EU / European Union61%▼ 6
  • Tax60%▼ 5
  • Energy59%▼ 7
  • NATO56%▲ 3
  • Reform51%▲ 12
  • Immigrant / Immigration50%▲ 15
  • Budget47%▼ 6
  • NHS / Healthcare41%▲ 31
  • Russia / Russian39%▲ 1
  • Trump24%▼ 12
  • Afford / Affordable / Affordability18%▼ 19
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence14%▲ 6
  • Event does not qualify9%▼ 37
  • China / Chinese8%▼ 1
KalshiCloses Nov 18 · $6.4K today

What will JD Vance say during NYT DealBook Summit?

74%Democrat
  • Democrat74%▲ 28
  • Economy / Economic70%▼ 5
  • 2028 / Campaign70%
17 more
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence70%
  • Trump (3+ times)69%▲ 1
  • Afford / Affordable / Affordability69%▼ 1
  • Manufacture / Manufacturing64%▲ 3
  • Oil / Gas / Gasoline63%▲ 10
  • Fraud60%▲ 2
  • Inflation57%▲ 26
  • Biden55%▼ 16
  • China / Chinese52%
  • Working Class / Middle Class51%▲ 5
  • America First51%▲ 9
  • Healthcare44%▲ 21
  • Iran / Iranian39%▼ 6
  • Data Center36%
  • Nuclear33%▼ 15
  • Tariff32%▲ 3
  • Event does not qualify20%
KalshiCloses Dec 2 · $638 today

What will Kevin Warsh say during his December press conference? (Dec 9, 2026)

90%Productivity
  • Productivity90%▲ 2
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence81%▲ 2
  • Projection76%▲ 1
23 more
  • Geopolitical76%
  • Balance Sheet76%▲ 6
  • Inflation Expectation72%▼ 1
  • Independent / Independence71%▲ 6
  • Uncertainty70%▼ 9
  • Central Bank68%▼ 15
  • Shock67%▼ 4
  • Oil66%▲ 3
  • Credit66%▲ 1
  • Anchor / Anchored60%▼ 2
  • Restrictive53%▲ 4
  • President46%▼ 1
  • Family Fight / Family Feud46%▲ 1
  • Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas39%▼ 2
  • Dollar31%▲ 5
  • Volatility26%▼ 4
  • Japan / Japanese / Yen22%▲ 3
  • Dissent22%▲ 3
  • Risk Management15%▲ 4
  • Diesel14%▲ 4
  • Trump11%▼ 1
  • Egg10%▲ 3
  • Consumer Confidence8%▲ 1
KalshiCloses Dec 10 · $484 today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions