Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Productivity
87%
▼ 2
84¢
90¢
$1.11
1.7K
AI / Artificial Intelligence
80%
▲ 1
75¢
85¢
$1.18
128
Projection
76%
71¢
80¢
$1.25
Geopolitical
76%
▼ 1
73¢
78¢
$1.28
314
Inflation Expectation
73%
70¢
76¢
$1.32
119
Shock
71%
66¢
75¢
$1.33
121
Balance Sheet
70%
▼ 1
65¢
74¢
$1.35
26.00
Central Bank
66%
▼ 17
63¢
69¢
$1.45
519
Credit
65%
60¢
70¢
$1.43
9.00
Independent / Independence
65%
60¢
70¢
$1.43
14.00
Oil
63%
60¢
66¢
$1.52
1.00
Anchor / Anchored
62%
▼ 1
58¢
65¢
$1.54
106
Uncertainty
52%
▼ 28
47¢
56¢
$1.79
1.9K
Restrictive
50%
▲ 1
49¢
51¢
$1.96
14.00
President
47%
44¢
49¢
$2.04
100
Family Fight / Family Feud
45%
44¢
46¢
$2.17
8.00
Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas
40%
▼ 1
35¢
45¢
$2.22
25.00
Volatility
30%
25¢
34¢
$2.94
20.00
Dollar
26%
21¢
31¢
$3.23
4.00
Japan / Japanese / Yen
20%
15¢
24¢
$4.17
5.00
Dissent
19%
17¢
20¢
$5.00
16.00
Risk Management
13%
▲ 2
10¢
16¢
$6.25
10.00
Diesel
12%
▲ 2
10¢
14¢
$7.14
17.00
Trump
11%
▼ 1
10¢
11¢
$9.09
55.00
Consumer Confidence
7%
3¢
11¢
$9.09
31.00
Egg
7%
3¢
11¢
$9.09
10.00
Event does not qualify
6%
1¢
10¢
$10.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions