Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Blockade
98%
32¢
98¢
$1.02
1.00
Rigged Election / Stolen Election
98%
67¢
98¢
$1.02
6.00
Canada / Canadian
98%
87¢
98¢
$1.02
62.00
Refinery
97%
11¢
82¢
$1.22
1.00
Melania
96%
30¢
96¢
$1.04
2.00
Bibi / Netanyahu
96%
74¢
98¢
$1.02
31.00
Cuba / Cuban
95%
18¢
84¢
$1.19
1.00
Soleimani
95%
11¢
94¢
$1.06
1.00
Dividend / Stimulus
94%
90¢
98¢
$1.02
88.00
Ilhan / Omar
90%
50¢
$1.11
4.00
Prediction Market / Predictive Market
84%
34¢
76¢
$1.32
1.00
Epstein
81%
25¢
49¢
$2.04
Crypto / Bitcoin
74%
22¢
43¢
$2.33
2.00
Nobel
69%
23¢
42¢
$2.38
2.00
Ceasefire
62%
41¢
62¢
$1.61
6.00
Zohran / Mamdani
59%
23¢
66¢
$1.52
5.00
Third Term
51%
19¢
47¢
$2.13
8.00
Autopen / Auto Pen
46%
25¢
47¢
$2.13
3.00
Antifa
30%
26¢
33¢
$3.03
86.00
Tomahawk
20%
18¢
22¢
$4.55
23.00
Uranium
20%
18¢
22¢
$4.55
36.00
UFO / UAP
9%
8¢
10¢
$10.00
8.00
Peace in the Middle East
7%
3¢
11¢
$9.09
153
Cybersecurity / Cyber Security
5%
3¢
6¢
$16.67
7.00
Make Iran Great Again
2%
1¢
3¢
$33.33
67.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Mike Johnson does impression of Trump | CNN PoliticsCNN · 18 h agoHouse Speaker Mike Johnson impersonated President Donald Trump while speaking at a rally in Dubuque, Iowa. Texas Senate candidate James Talarico accuses Republican rival Ken Paxton of serving "billionaire megadonors" like Elon Musk, who…
Trump delivers final campaign pitch in IowaFox News · 19 h agoPresident Donald Trump reflects on his campaign blitz, speaking at 29 rallies across the country over 32 days. Trump delivers final campaign pitch in Iowa President Donald Trump reflects on his campaign blitz, speaking at 29 rallies across…
Trump makes fevered campaign push in final weekend before electionBBC News · 14 h agoIn the last weekend before the pivotal midterm elections, Donald Trump has made a final pitch to voters in hopes of keeping Republicans in control of the US Congress. Trump held rallies in Florida, Iowa and Kansas - states he won in past…
Judge dismisses Trump lawsuit in Alaska Senate raceNBC News · 19 h agoA federal judge on Sunday rejected the Trump administration’s lawsuit that demanded officials not certify election results in the Senate race there, if the incumbent senator loses. NBC News’ Steve Patterson reports. Steve Kornacki breaks…
Inside Trump and Vance’s final-week sprintPOLITICO · 17 h agoYour guide to Donald Trump’s unprecedented overhaul of the federal government. By SOPHIA CAI, BEN JOHANSEN and ELLEIANA GREEN 10/30/2026 05:20 PM EDT Welcome to POLITICO's West Wing Playbook: Remaking Government, your guide to Donald…
Obama-Appointed Judge Rejects Trump Bid to Block Alaska Senate ResultsNewsweek · 16 h agoNov 01, 2026 at 03:55 PM EST Nov 01, 2026 at 04:02 PM EST A federal judge has dismissed the Trump administration’s attempt to block Alaska from certifying the results of its closely watched U.S. Senate election if Republican incumbent Dan…
Ukraine targets Russian oil refineries despite Trump warningFox News · 21 h agoFox News chief foreign correspondent Trey Yingst reports from Ukraine on the impact of the war on civilians and more. The 'Fox News Sunday' panel also weighs in. Ukraine targets Russian oil refineries despite Trump warning Fox News chief…
Trump Makes Final Midterm Rally Push as Democrats Rise in PollsNewsweek · 11 h agoNov 01, 2026 at 11:57 PM EST President Donald Trump told a crowd in Kansas Sunday that he "could have been at home watching television," as a new poll showed Democrats leading in all seven battleground Senate races. Trump won Kansas and…
Trump campaigns in Iowa in final push before midtermsCBS News · 18 h agoCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Trump campaigns in Iowa…
The global impact of the coming US midterm elections under Donald TrumpSouth China Morning Post · 12 h agoFirst published in 1903, South China Morning Post is Hong Kong's premier English language newspaper and has the city's most affluent and influential readership. With a reputation for authoritative, influential and independent reporting on…
Trump launches racist diatribe against Abdul El-Sayed at Iowa rallythe Guardian · 18 h agoPresident again took aim at progressive Senate candidate and lauded Haley Stevens for endorsing Mike Rogers Donald Trump railed against Democratic US senate hopeful Abdul El-Sayed at a campaign event in Iowa Sunday, repeatedly referring to…
Rubio: Trump is READY FOR WAR with IranFox News · 22 h agoFox News Rubio: Trump is READY FOR WAR with Iran Secretary of State Marco Rubio says that President Donald Trump prefers peace in Iran, but is prepared for war.
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions