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>99%October 31
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How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/31-11/6) (Oct 31, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026)
The odds
199.4median
100250
Median 199.4
How the odds have moved
Median: 198.4 on Nov 2, 199.4 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ At least 20 | 99% | ▲ 1 | $1.01 | 6.2K | ||
| ✓ At least 35 | 99% | $1.01 | 10.0K | |||
| ✓ At least 50 | 99% | ▲ 14 | $1.01 | 9.5K | ||
| ✓ At least 75 | 99% | ▲ 27 | $1.01 | 7.0K | ||
| ✓ At least 100 | 99% | $1.01 | 9.1K | |||
| At least 150 | 95% | ▲ 17 | 93¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 2.3K |
| At least 200 | 50% | ▲ 8 | 47¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | 3.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Truth Social
Search ›- Bill Maher hits back at Trump over blistering Truth Social post, jokes about president's dinner reviewComedian Bill Maher mocked a lengthy Truth Social post from President Donald Trump, in which the president reversed course on his assessment of the pair's second dinner at the White House. During Friday's episode of HBO's "Real Time,"…
- Donald Trump's 'SWAMP' Message to Republicans Tops His Rapid-Fire Truth Social Push Before the MidtermsDonald Trump posted about 20 messages on Truth Social in roughly 10 minutes on Saturday, 31 October, urging Republicans to 'SWAMP the Radical Left Dumocrats with massive turnout' three days before the 3 November midterm elections. The…
- Trump's new social media app 'Truth Social' is off to a rough startThe moment none of us have been waiting for: Former President Donald Trump's new social media platform just hit the U.S. Apple App Store. The new app, called Truth Social, was released for U.S-based downloads over the weekend, with an…
- Bill Maher reads Trump’s Truth Social rant on air, jokes ‘eating with Trump is a lot like dating Taylor Swift’Bill Maher returned to his HBO program Real Time and used the opening minutes to respond to a lengthy Truth Social message from President Donald Trump. The host said he hoped to avoid lasting bad feelings after the two men had shared…
- Bill Maher Responds to Trump’s Truth Social Attack—WatchBill Maher returned to Real Time Friday night with three pages of Donald Trump grievances to answer—and, despite his stated desire not to fight, plenty of jokes ready to go. “Did you see the 1,300-word tweet he sent out?” Maher asked…
- Donald Trump posts 20 times in 10 minutes in frantic Truth Social barrageBy Brigid BrownAthena Dawson, Donald Trump appears to be on a Truth Social posting frenzy, just moments before a tele-rally he's set to lead in Florida. Following that, a barrage of posts appeared in quick succession, each tailored to the…
- Exclusive-Bloomberg, Two Trading Firms Agree To Pay Trump’s Truth Social For Faster Access To President’s Posts, Sources SayFutures and options on butter and skimmed milk powder now trading. By Anirban Sen and Edmund Lee NEW YORK, Oct 28 (Reuters) - Truth Social, the social media platform founded by President Donald Trump, has signed up news and data provider…
- Bill Maher Hits Back After Trump's Wild 1,300-Word Truth Social Rant“Real Time” host Bill Maher responded on Friday to President Donald Trump’s outrageous 1,300-word Truth Social rant about him earlier this week. With printed pages of Trump’s rant in hand, Maher devoted the majority of his opening…
- Obama-Appointed Judge Rejects Trump Bid to Block Alaska Senate ResultsNov 01, 2026 at 03:55 PM EST Nov 01, 2026 at 04:02 PM EST A federal judge has dismissed the Trump administration’s attempt to block Alaska from certifying the results of its closely watched U.S. Senate election if Republican incumbent Dan…
- Trump Media debuts first national television ad during college basketball game in RomeTrump Media & Technology Group will debut its first 30-second national television advertisement on Sunday during Villanova's historic basketball matchup against Notre Dame in Rome. "We want more voices talking about the things that they…
- Trump Heads to Kansas as Senate Race Shifts to Toss-UpNov 01, 2026 at 12:32 PM EST President Donald Trump is returning to Kansas on Sunday in an effort to shore up support for Republican Senator Roger Marshall as the once reliably Republican Senate race became classified as a "Toss Up" by Fox…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions