Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Save America Act
96%
95¢
96¢
$1.04
359
Hormuz
86%
82¢
90¢
$1.11
1.9K
China / Chinese
85%
83¢
86¢
$1.16
27.00
Tariff (3+ times)
84%
81¢
86¢
$1.16
24.00
Nuclear (3+ times)
83%
80¢
86¢
$1.16
22.00
Gulf of America
81%
80¢
81¢
$1.23
1.4K
America First
79%
78¢
79¢
$1.27
1.5K
Supreme Court
78%
74¢
82¢
$1.22
80.00
Iran (5+ times)
78%
74¢
81¢
$1.23
Made in America / American Made
72%
68¢
76¢
$1.32
545
Canada / Canadian
67%
63¢
71¢
$1.41
87.00
Russia / Ukraine
66%
62¢
70¢
$1.43
Kamala
63%
49¢
63¢
$1.59
96.00
Small Business
54%
54¢
65¢
$1.54
28.00
Steel
50%
45¢
54¢
$1.85
20.00
Blockade
49%
45¢
53¢
$1.89
1.3K
Greenland
39%
27¢
42¢
$2.38
6.00
Israel / Israeli
34%
31¢
37¢
$2.70
Space Force
31%
26¢
35¢
$2.86
1.00
Veteran
28%
27¢
38¢
$2.63
2.00
Insurance
22%
19¢
25¢
$4.00
2.00
Fraud (3+ times)
21%
19¢
22¢
$4.55
47.00
AI / Artificial Intelligence
19%
15¢
23¢
$4.35
1.00
Trump Account
18%
14¢
21¢
$4.76
6.00
Elon / Musk
17%
15¢
18¢
$5.56
10.00
Data Center
13%
9¢
17¢
$5.88
Ceasefire
13%
8¢
17¢
$5.88
1.00
Deport / Deported / Deportation
12%
8¢
16¢
$6.25
14.00
Social Security (5+ times)
11%
6¢
16¢
$6.25
5.00
Electricity
10%
8¢
12¢
$8.33
2.00
Fentanyl
10%
9¢
10¢
$10.00
2.8K
Windmill
8%
3¢
13¢
$7.69
Palestine / Palestinian
7%
3¢
11¢
$9.09
Peace in the Middle East
5%
3¢
6¢
$16.67
32.00
Crypto / Bitcoin
2%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
1.1K
Event does not qualify
2%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
63.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Donald Trump Daytona Beach rally marks his 4th political career visitMiami Herald · 33 h agoPresident Donald Trump is set to make his fourth appearance ever in Daytona Beach, Florida, throughout his political career. Trump has visited the Florida city three times before, with his first Daytona political sighting dating back to…
Daytona Beach school employee accused of child abuseWFTV · 36 h agoA Daytona Beach school employee at Chyles Academy, a school for teen parents, has been arrested and is facing serious charges of child abuse. Daytona Beach school employee accused of child abuse Serious charges for Daytona Beach school…
‘Armed and dangerous’ murder suspect on the run in Daytona Beach, police sayWFTV · 39 h agoDAYTONA BEACH, Fla. — Law enforcement in Volusia County is searching for a man they consider armed and dangerous. Police said Xavion Marquee Perry III, is a suspect in a Gainesville homicide investigation stemming from a domestic violence…
President Donald Trump is coming to Daytona Beach for a Oct. 30 rallyYahoo News · 2 days agoPresident Donald Trump will rally Republicans in Daytona Beach on Oct. 30, following a campaign stop in southwest Florida. The venue remains unknown. Around 90,000 properties are without power after Scotland and north England is battered…
King tides bring dangerous surf, flooding threat to Central Florida beachesWFTV · 27 h agoDAYTONA BEACH, Fla. — Dangerous surf, strong winds and the threat of coastal flooding are putting Central Florida’s coastline on alert as king tides bring unusually high water levels to area beaches. Volusia County is under multiple…
David Jolly pushes back on Trump's criticism in Florida governor's raceFox News · 28 h agoFlorida gubernatorial candidate David Jolly joins 'America's Newsroom' to discuss his platform in the race against Rep. Byron Donalds. David Jolly pushes back on Trump's criticism in Florida governor's race Florida gubernatorial candidate…
Teen arrested in shooting near Florida A&MCBS News · 22 h agoCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Teen arrested in shooting…
University of Florida, New College, stumble in latest national rankingsPOLITICO · 17 h agoThe new standings knocked University of Florida out from its coveted position as a top-five public university. 09/18/2023 4:58 PM EDT TALLAHASSEE, Fla. — Several Florida schools, including the flagship University of Florida and the small…
Florida GOP spends millions in push to save Tallahassee supermajorityPOLITICO · 19 h agoFlorida Democrats could win enough races to break the GOP supermajority of the last four years. Miami-Dade Supervisors of Elections employees check identification documents of voters during early voting in Miami, Florida, on Oct. 19, 2026…
Where Florida's QB Controversy Stands as Gators Prep to Face No. 3 GeorgiaFlorida Gators On SI · 21 h agoGAINESVILLE, Fla. — The Florida Gators officially have a midseason decision to make on its starting quarterback: Aaron Philo or Tramell Jones Jr. "Both guys are available, believe in both guys. I'm not gonna name a starter today," Sumrall…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
