Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Save America Act
94%
92¢
95¢
$1.05
204
China / Chinese
87%
86¢
88¢
$1.14
29.00
Nuclear (3+ times)
83%
79¢
86¢
$1.16
27.00
Tariff (3+ times)
82%
80¢
83¢
$1.20
1.00
Hormuz
80%
66¢
77¢
$1.30
5.00
Steel
78%
74¢
81¢
$1.23
24.00
Iran (5+ times)
75%
71¢
78¢
$1.28
15.00
America First
74%
71¢
76¢
$1.32
81.00
Made in America / American Made
66%
62¢
70¢
$1.43
47.00
Supreme Court
63%
59¢
67¢
$1.49
11.00
ICE
62%
59¢
65¢
$1.54
20.00
Kamala
62%
57¢
67¢
$1.49
234
Small Business
61%
43¢
60¢
$1.67
26.00
Russia / Ukraine
57%
54¢
61¢
$1.64
19.00
Canada / Canadian
56%
54¢
59¢
$1.69
81.00
Gulf of America
55%
49¢
60¢
$1.67
34.00
Fraud (3+ times)
52%
42¢
53¢
$1.89
1.3K
Blockade
46%
42¢
50¢
$2.00
1.7K
Israel / Israeli
36%
32¢
39¢
$2.56
98.00
Greenland
33%
30¢
36¢
$2.78
126
Veteran
31%
26¢
36¢
$2.78
2.00
Data Center
31%
29¢
32¢
$3.13
1.8K
Space Force
25%
22¢
27¢
$3.70
106
Elon / Musk
21%
12¢
24¢
$4.17
76.00
Social Security (5+ times)
20%
16¢
23¢
$4.35
265
Ceasefire
18%
16¢
20¢
$5.00
2.5K
AI / Artificial Intelligence
17%
13¢
20¢
$5.00
82.00
Deport / Deported / Deportation
16%
11¢
21¢
$4.76
3.2K
Windmill
16%
12¢
19¢
$5.26
4.00
Fentanyl
13%
10¢
16¢
$6.25
3.1K
Palestine / Palestinian
13%
12¢
14¢
$7.14
137
Event does not qualify
10%
2¢
16¢
$6.25
333
Electricity
10%
6¢
13¢
$7.69
90.00
Trump Account
7%
4¢
9¢
$11.11
131
Peace in the Middle East
3%
2¢
3¢
$33.33
545
Crypto / Bitcoin
2%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
154
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
