What will Trump say during his rally in Dubuque, Iowa?

Kalshi Mentions › Politicians Closes Nov 15 · $5.5K today · $5.5K traded · $5.2K at stake · prices read 57 min ago

The odds

95%Save America Act
  • Save America Act95%
  • China / Chinese91%
  • America First87%
  • Nuclear (3+ times)84%
  • Tariff (3+ times)84%
  • Supreme Court80%
  • Canada / Canadian76%
  • Ethanol76%
  • Iran (5+ times)74%
  • Steel73%
  • Hormuz69%
  • Made in America / American Made68%
27 more
  • Small Business67%
  • ICE66%
  • Kamala66%
  • Gulf of America66%
  • Russia / Ukraine62%
  • Israel / Israeli42%
  • Fraud (3+ times)37%
  • Space Force36%
  • Blockade35%
  • Veteran33%
  • Greenland28%
  • Corn28%
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation22%
  • Cattle19%
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence19%
  • Electricity18%
  • Elon / Musk14%
  • Social Security (5+ times)14%
  • Data Center14%
  • Windmill14%
  • Ceasefire13%
  • Fentanyl9%
  • Palestine / Palestinian7%
  • Peace in the Middle East7%
  • Trump Account4%
  • Event does not qualify3%
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Save America Act 95% 94¢ 95¢ $1.05 192
China / Chinese 91% 74¢ 89¢ $1.12 40.00
America First 87% 84¢ 89¢ $1.12 914
Nuclear (3+ times) 84% 81¢ 86¢ $1.16 35.00
Tariff (3+ times) 84% 81¢ 86¢ $1.16 23.00
Supreme Court 80% 69¢ 80¢ $1.25 56.00
Canada / Canadian 76% 66¢ 77¢ $1.30 84.00
Ethanol 76% 73¢ 78¢ $1.28 1.4K
Iran (5+ times) 74% 71¢ 77¢ $1.30 15.00
Steel 73% 69¢ 76¢ $1.32 690
Hormuz 69% 65¢ 72¢ $1.39 112
Made in America / American Made 68% 66¢ 69¢ $1.45 125
Small Business 67% 64¢ 70¢ $1.43 2.0K
ICE 66% 54¢ 66¢ $1.52 99.00
Kamala 66% 62¢ 70¢ $1.43 236
Gulf of America 66% 54¢ 65¢ $1.54 36.00
Russia / Ukraine 62% 58¢ 66¢ $1.52 60.00
Israel / Israeli 42% 37¢ 46¢ $2.17 21.00
Fraud (3+ times) 37% 35¢ 38¢ $2.63 486
Space Force 36% 21¢ 34¢ $2.94 55.00
Blockade 35% 31¢ 38¢ $2.63 1.1K
Veteran 33% 32¢ 43¢ $2.33 47.00
Greenland 28% 24¢ 32¢ $3.13 10.00
Corn 28% 25¢ 30¢ $3.33 76.00
Deport / Deported / Deportation 22% 7¢ 18¢ $5.56 142
Cattle 19% 18¢ 20¢ $5.00 357
AI / Artificial Intelligence 19% 16¢ 21¢ $4.76 2.00
Electricity 18% 13¢ 22¢ $4.55 77.00
Elon / Musk 14% 11¢ 18¢ $5.56 6.00
Social Security (5+ times) 14% 11¢ 17¢ $5.88 1.1K
Data Center 14% 9¢ 18¢ $5.56 97.00
Windmill 14% 9¢ 18¢ $5.56 13.00
Ceasefire 13% 10¢ 15¢ $6.67 20.00
Fentanyl 9% 8¢ 10¢ $10.00 3.00
Palestine / Palestinian 7% 3¢ 11¢ $9.09 2.00
Peace in the Middle East 7% 4¢ 9¢ $11.11 72.00
Trump Account 4% 3¢ 4¢ $25.00 25.00
Event does not qualify 3% 2¢ 4¢ $25.00 270
Crypto / Bitcoin 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 2.7K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Dubuque, Iowa

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What will Trump say during his rally in Daytona Beach, Florida?

96%Save America Act
  • Save America Act96%
  • Hormuz86%
  • China / Chinese85%
33 more
  • Tariff (3+ times)84%
  • Nuclear (3+ times)83%
  • Gulf of America81%
  • America First79%
  • Supreme Court78%
  • Iran (5+ times)78%
  • Made in America / American Made72%
  • Canada / Canadian67%
  • Russia / Ukraine66%
  • Kamala63%
  • Small Business54%
  • Steel50%
  • Blockade49%
  • Greenland39%
  • Israel / Israeli34%
  • Space Force31%
  • Veteran28%
  • Insurance22%
  • Fraud (3+ times)21%
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence19%
  • Trump Account18%
  • Elon / Musk17%
  • Data Center13%
  • Ceasefire13%
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation12%
  • Social Security (5+ times)11%
  • Electricity10%
  • Fentanyl10%
  • Windmill8%
  • Palestine / Palestinian7%
  • Peace in the Middle East5%
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%
  • Event does not qualify2%
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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina?

94%Save America Act
  • Save America Act94%
  • China / Chinese85%
  • Nuclear (3+ times)83%
35 more
  • Tariff (3+ times)82%
  • America First80%
  • Hormuz76%
  • Iran (5+ times)75%
  • Made in America / American Made68%
  • Supreme Court64%
  • Canada / Canadian63%
  • Small Business62%
  • Russia / Ukraine61%
  • Gulf of America58%
  • Steel55%
  • Kamala53%
  • Blockade49%
  • Israel / Israeli41%
  • ICE40%
  • Greenland38%
  • Veteran35%
  • Fraud (3+ times)35%
  • Data Center28%
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence24%
  • Trump Account24%
  • Space Force19%
  • Elon / Musk18%
  • Hurricane14%
  • Social Security (5+ times)14%
  • Electricity12%
  • Ceasefire9%
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation8%
  • FEMA7%
  • Fentanyl6%
  • Windmill5%
  • Palestine / Palestinian4%
  • Peace in the Middle East3%
  • Event does not qualify2%
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%
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What will Trump say during his rally in Chillicothe, Ohio?

94%Save America Act
  • Save America Act94%
  • China / Chinese87%
  • Nuclear (3+ times)83%
33 more
  • Tariff (3+ times)82%
  • Hormuz80%
  • Steel78%
  • Iran (5+ times)75%
  • America First74%
  • Made in America / American Made66%
  • Supreme Court63%
  • ICE62%
  • Kamala62%
  • Small Business61%
  • Russia / Ukraine57%
  • Canada / Canadian56%
  • Gulf of America55%
  • Fraud (3+ times)52%
  • Blockade46%
  • Israel / Israeli36%
  • Greenland33%
  • Veteran31%
  • Data Center31%
  • Space Force25%
  • Elon / Musk21%
  • Social Security (5+ times)20%
  • Ceasefire18%
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence17%
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation16%
  • Windmill16%
  • Fentanyl13%
  • Palestine / Palestinian13%
  • Event does not qualify10%
  • Electricity10%
  • Trump Account7%
  • Peace in the Middle East3%
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%
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What will Trump say during his rally in Lubbock, Texas?

98%Dividend / Stimulus
  • Dividend / Stimulus98%▲ 13
  • Golden Age98%▲ 33
  • Save America Act97%▲ 2
36 more
  • America First93%▲ 8
  • Tariff (3+ times)92%▲ 9
  • Sanctuary92%▲ 6
  • France91%▲ 8
  • China / Chinese89%▲ 4
  • Iran (5+ times)89%▲ 7
  • Hormuz89%▲ 8
  • Barack Hussein Obama88%
  • Nuclear (3+ times)88%▲ 10
  • Made in America / American Made88%▲ 14
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating86%▼ 8
  • Sleepy Joe85%▲ 2
  • Kamala83%▲ 20
  • Gulf of America83%▲ 18
  • Fraud (3+ times)83%▲ 60
  • ICE79%▲ 2
  • Drill Baby Drill75%▲ 7
  • Supreme Court69%▼ 6
  • Russia / Ukraine67%▼ 16
  • Canada / Canadian67%▲ 33
  • Space Force58%▲ 9
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation46%▲ 27
  • Israel / Israeli35%▼ 3
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence24%▼ 2
  • Blockade22%▼ 21
  • Electricity22%▼ 18
  • Data Center22%▼ 32
  • Fentanyl18%▼ 1
  • Windmill18%▼ 6
  • Social Security (5+ times)17%▼ 8
  • Palestine / Palestinian16%▲ 8
  • Ceasefire15%▲ 9
  • Trump Account12%▼ 10
  • Peace in the Middle East3%▲ 1
  • Crypto / Bitcoin1%▼ 1
  • Event does not qualify1%▼ 3
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What will Trump say during his rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?

100%Cheat / Cheater / Cheating
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating100%▲ 8
  • China / Chinese100%▲ 19
  • Tariff (3+ times)100%▲ 22
32 more
  • Sleepy Joe100%▲ 22
  • Barack Hussein Obama100%▲ 12
  • Russia / Ukraine100%▲ 33
  • ICE100%▲ 21
  • Made in America / American Made100%▲ 31
  • Kamala100%▲ 41
  • Iran (5+ times)100%▲ 21
  • Nuclear (3+ times)100%▲ 18
  • Gulf of America100%▲ 22
  • Hormuz100%▲ 23
  • France100%▲ 21
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation100%▲ 79
  • Drill Baby Drill100%▲ 30
  • Fraud (3+ times)100%▲ 75
  • Save America Act97%▲ 3
  • Sanctuary88%▲ 4
  • America First85%▲ 15
  • Supreme Court51%▼ 28
  • Israel / Israeli16%▼ 19
  • Electricity12%▼ 16
  • Social Security (5+ times)7%▼ 6
  • Palestine / Palestinian7%▲ 1
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence6%▼ 19
  • Windmill5%▼ 10
  • Trump Account5%▼ 16
  • Data Center5%▼ 37
  • Fentanyl4%▼ 10
  • Blockade3%▼ 41
  • Ceasefire2%▼ 3
  • Peace in the Middle East1%▼ 1
  • Crypto / Bitcoin1%▼ 1
  • Event does not qualify1%▼ 2
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What will Trump say this week? (Before Nov 2, 2026)

100%Ceasefire
  • Ceasefire100%▲ 25
  • Nobel100%▲ 27
  • Vivek / Ramaswamy98%▲ 1
23 more
  • Bibi / Netanyahu95%▲ 8
  • Melania90%▼ 5
  • Refinery76%▲ 6
  • Mortgage76%▲ 20
  • Cuba / Cuban75%▲ 4
  • Ethanol72%▲ 20
  • Houthi62%▲ 7
  • Autopen / Auto Pen54%▲ 8
  • Third Term54%▲ 6
  • Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice52%▼ 11
  • Zohran / Mamdani31%▼ 11
  • Cybersecurity / Cyber Security26%▼ 16
  • Antifa24%▼ 18
  • Tomahawk20%▼ 2
  • Crypto / Bitcoin18%▲ 1
  • Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis16%▲ 6
  • UFO / UAP14%▲ 6
  • Epstein13%▼ 6
  • Golden Dome11%▲ 3
  • Uranium10%
  • Peace in the Middle East8%▼ 5
  • Prediction Market / Predictive Market8%▲ 3
  • Make Iran Great Again4%
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions