Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Cheat / Cheater / Cheating
70%
11¢
92¢
$1.09
1.00
Fake News
70%
16¢
92¢
$1.09
1.00
Stock Market
64%
32¢
65¢
$1.54
236
Radical Left
62%
49¢
62¢
$1.61
15.00
China / Chinese
60%
11¢
54¢
$1.85
1.00
Crime
55%
23¢
48¢
$2.08
289
Transgender
51%
53¢
65¢
$1.54
108
Michigan
48%
11¢
48¢
$2.08
22.00
Socialist / Socialism
26%
5¢
26¢
$3.85
37.00
Crypto / Bitcoin
2%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool, Lincoln Memorial
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions