Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 24, 2026?
38.8%median
38.35%39.05%
Median 38.8%Middle half 38.77% – 38.83%
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Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 21, 2026?
Settled 38.3%A day before, traders had a median of 38.65%
The last odds before it closed
38.6%median
- ✓ Below 38.6%95%▲ 93
- 38.6%1%▼ 10
- 38.7%<1%▼ 11
- 38.8%<1%▼ 27
- 38.9%<1%▼ 10
- 39.0%<1%▼ 7
- 39.1%<1%▼ 6
- 39.2%<1%▼ 3
- Above 39.2%<1%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Median: 38.65% on Oct 21, 38.6% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Below 38.6% | 95% | 72.3K | ||||
| ✗ 38.6% | 1% | 64.4K | ||||
| ✗ 38.7% | <1% | 63.4K | ||||
| ✗ 38.8% | <1% | 38.5K | ||||
| ✗ 38.9% | <1% | 22.8K | ||||
| ✗ 39.0% | <1% | 17.1K | ||||
| ✗ 39.1% | <1% | 16.8K | ||||
| ✗ 39.2% | <1% | 18.3K | ||||
| ✗ Above 39.2% | <1% | 22.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Trump's RCP
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