Trump's RCP approval average on Nov 3, 2026?

Kalshi Politics › Trump administration Closes tomorrow 12:59 PM ET · $406 traded · $136 at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

39.27%median
38.65%39.35%
Median 39.27%Middle half 39.13% – 39.28%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Below 38.7% <1% 1¢ $100.00
38.7% 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 36.00
38.8% 2% 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 109
38.9% 5% 2¢ 8¢ $12.50 205
39.0% 8% 8¢ 9¢ $11.11
39.1% 11% 9¢ 15¢ $6.67 1.9K
39.2% 19% 17¢ 24¢ $4.17 213
39.3% 17% 15¢ 22¢ $4.55 123
Above 39.3% 37% 37¢ 43¢ $2.33 247

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Trump's RCP

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions