Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2%chance
Install
How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/18-10/24)
The odds
6.52median
114
Median 6.52Middle half 6.26 – 6.78
How the odds have moved
Median: 4.76 on Oct 20, 6.52 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 2 | 100% | 99¢ | 33.1K | |||
| At least 3 | 100% | 99¢ | 28.4K | |||
| At least 4 | 100% | 99¢ | 23.9K | |||
| At least 5 | 100% | 99¢ | 15.7K | |||
| At least 6 | 100% | 99¢ | 23.3K | |||
| At least 7 | 4% | ▼ 3 | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 22.6K |
| At least 8 | 1% | ▼ 6 | 2¢ | $50.00 | 11.0K | |
| At least 9 | 1% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | $100.00 | 21.1K | |
| At least 10 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 31.3K | ||
| At least 12 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 14.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Trump
Search ›-
President Trump, first lady Melania Trump cast early voting ballotsPresident Donald Trump and first lady Melania Trump deliver remarks after casting their early voting ballots in West Palm Beach, Fla. President Trump, first lady Melania Trump cast early voting ballots President Donald Trump and first lady… -
President Trump and first lady Melania Trump vote early in West Palm BeachA hoarse-sounding President Trump and first lady Melania Trump voted early in West Palm Beach on Saturday – as Trump vowed to keep up the vigorous campaign schedule A hoarse-sounding President Trump cast his ballot alongside first lady… -
2026 Midterm Elections: Trump, Obama Rally MichiganPresident Donald Trump is set to campaign in Michigan as Democrats deploy Barack Obama and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez while a Justice Department lawsuit threatens to complicate the closely watched Alaska Senate race. President Donald Trump… -
Obama Mocks Trump’s White House RenovationsOct 24, 2026 at 07:24 PM EDT Former President Barack Obama took several shots at President Donald Trump's focus on White House renovations during a rally in Ohio on Saturday, joking that Trump "should be on HGTV" and ridiculing reports of… -
Trump lauds Melania over Russia-Ukraine localised ceasefire dealAl Jazeera Trump lauds Melania over Russia-Ukraine localised ceasefire deal US President Donald Trump praised First Lady Melania Trump, saying she was ‘better than our professionals’ following her diplomatic efforts towards a localised… -
Brazil Election: Trump Ally Bolsonaro vs. Lula Final Polls and OddsOct 25, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT Brazilians vote Sunday in a presidential runoff between Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, a close ally of President Donald Trump, and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Final polls show a dead heat, while prediction… -
Trump casts early in-person ballot | CNN PoliticsPresident Donald Trump cast an early ballot at a polling station in South Florida on Saturday. Despite the president's previous attacks on various voting methods such as mail-in voting and early voting, Trump has urged Republican voters to… -
Trump started a trade war with Canada. GOP candidates became casualties.Breaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. High tariffs on… -
Obama slams Trump on campaign trail in OhioCBS News Bay Area Evening Edition Weekend 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6pm CBS News New York CBS News Philadelphia 7:30pm KDKA News at 7 CBS13 News Weekend 5pm CBS News Texas Saturday 5pm -
Trump reveals Audi's ambitious plans for a major expansion in the USPresident Donald Trump announced that Audi plans to invest $4.2 billion in a new manufacturing plant in Macon during a midterm rally speech on Saturday in Perry, Georgia. President Donald Trump announced a massive $4.2 billion investment… -
Trump administration moves to nix TSA union contract — againA prior attempt was halted by a federal judge. A badge is seen on the uniform of a TSA agent at a security checkpoint at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on Nov. 6 in SeaTac, Washington. | Lindsey Wasson/AP 12/12/2025 7:24 PM EST The… -
Trump votes early in West Palm Beach, criticizes DemocratsPresident Donald Trump cast his ballot for the midterm elections Saturday in West Palm Beach, accompanied by first lady Melania Trump. After voting, Trump criticized Democrats, accusing them of widespread corruption in several states and…
Related markets
All trump administration ›Trump out as President before 2027?
5%chance
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
3%chance
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
99%chance
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
25%December 31
- October 3111%▲ 1
- December 3125%▼ 8
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 47
- November 30>99%▲ 16
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.