KalshiCulture › CelebritiesCloses Dec 31 · $741 today · $341K traded · $171K at stake · prices read 8 min ago
The odds
28%Zohran Mamdani
Zohran Mamdani28%▼ 1
Pope Leo XIV16%▲ 1
Mark Carney16%
Donald Trump9%
Benjamin Netanyahu9%
Elon Musk7%▲ 1
AI7%
Dario Amodei7%▼ 1
James Talarico7%
Abdul El-Sayed6%▲ 1
Sam Altman6%
Marco Rubio6%▲ 1
30 more
Reid Wiseman5%
Victor Glover5%
Christina Koch5%
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf5%▲ 1
ChatGPT4%
Bad Bunny4%
Shehbaz Sharif4%
Jeremy Hansen4%
Mojtaba Khamenei4%
Xi Jinping4%
Alysa Liu3%
Péter Magyar3%
Lionel Messi3%
Bernie Sanders3%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez3%
Jon Ossoff3%▼ 1
James Stephen "Jimmy" Donaldson / MrBeast3%
Pete Hegseth3%▲ 1
Jerome Powell2%
Susie Wiles2%▲ 1
Christopher Nolan2%
Chris Wright2%
Taylor Swift1%▼ 1
Hakeem Jeffries1%
JD Vance1%
Andy Burnham1%
Steve Witkoff1%▼ 1
Erika Kirk1%
Jared Kushner1%
Kevin Warsh1%
How the odds have moved
Zohran Mamdani: 28% on Oct 20, 28% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Zohran Mamdani
28%
▼ 1
28¢
29¢
$3.45
919.6K
Pope Leo XIV
16%
▲ 1
15¢
16¢
$6.25
186.4K
Mark Carney
16%
15¢
16¢
$6.25
41.3K
Donald Trump
9%
8¢
9¢
$11.11
173.8K
Benjamin Netanyahu
9%
8¢
9¢
$11.11
17.0K
Elon Musk
7%
▲ 1
6¢
7¢
$14.29
48.5K
AI
7%
6¢
7¢
$14.29
184.0K
Dario Amodei
7%
▼ 1
6¢
7¢
$14.29
26.9K
James Talarico
7%
5¢
8¢
$12.50
10.6K
Abdul El-Sayed
6%
▲ 1
4¢
8¢
$12.50
3.0K
Sam Altman
6%
5¢
6¢
$16.67
27.1K
Marco Rubio
6%
▲ 1
5¢
6¢
$16.67
6.6K
Reid Wiseman
5%
4¢
6¢
$16.67
10.9K
Victor Glover
5%
4¢
5¢
$20.00
4.6K
Christina Koch
5%
4¢
5¢
$20.00
6.1K
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
5%
▲ 1
3¢
6¢
$16.67
6.5K
ChatGPT
4%
3¢
4¢
$25.00
18.7K
Bad Bunny
4%
3¢
4¢
$25.00
79.0K
Shehbaz Sharif
4%
3¢
4¢
$25.00
2.0K
Jeremy Hansen
4%
3¢
4¢
$25.00
5.4K
Mojtaba Khamenei
4%
3¢
4¢
$25.00
18.4K
Xi Jinping
4%
3¢
4¢
$25.00
7.5K
Alysa Liu
3%
2¢
3¢
$33.33
5.6K
Péter Magyar
3%
2¢
3¢
$33.33
2.4K
Lionel Messi
3%
1¢
4¢
$25.00
14.1K
Bernie Sanders
3%
2¢
3¢
$33.33
14.2K
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
3%
2¢
3¢
$33.33
1.6K
Jon Ossoff
3%
▼ 1
2¢
3¢
$33.33
1.5K
James Stephen "Jimmy" Donaldson / MrBeast
3%
2¢
3¢
$33.33
1.5K
Pete Hegseth
3%
▲ 1
2¢
3¢
$33.33
1.2K
Jerome Powell
2%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
19.1K
Susie Wiles
2%
▲ 1
1¢
2¢
$50.00
528
Christopher Nolan
2%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
19.00
Chris Wright
2%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
Taylor Swift
1%
▼ 1
2¢
$50.00
34.4K
Hakeem Jeffries
1%
2¢
$50.00
626
JD Vance
1%
2¢
$50.00
797
Andy Burnham
1%
2¢
$50.00
Steve Witkoff
1%
▼ 1
2¢
$50.00
167
Erika Kirk
1%
1¢
$100.00
479
Jared Kushner
1%
1¢
$100.00
500
Kevin Warsh
1%
1¢
$100.00
5.0K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Pope Leo XIV hosts first public audience since lung surgeryCBS News · 3 days agoCBS News Pope Leo XIV hosts first public audience since lung surgery Fire damages house in McHenry, Illinois Jane Doe says she felt Cornell’s president didn’t believe her sex assault accusations Warmer-than-normal temps continue for a…
Zohran Mamdani news - Today’s latest updatesCBS News · 3 days agoThe city announced that 10,000 new spots will be added across the city for free childcare for 2-year-olds. CBS News New York's Christina Fan reports. Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Gov. Kathy Hochul announced Monday that more than 12,000…
Pope Leo XIV's brother talks the pontiff's cancer surgery recoveryFox News · 6 days agoFox News Pope Leo XIV's brother talks the pontiff's cancer surgery recovery Pope Leo XIV's brother Louis Prevost shares updates on the pope's recovery following cancer removal surgery. He discusses the pope's first public prayer and…
Pope Leo XIV returns to Vatican after surgeryCBS News · 5 days agoCBS News Bay Area Evening Edition 11pm WBZ This Morning 6am CBS News Chicago 5am CBS News Detroit 6am CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 11pm CBS News Miami 6am CBS News New York This Morning CBS News Philadelphia 6am KDKA-TV Morning News 6am…
Pope Leo XIV thanks wellwishers in first event after cancer surgeryBBC News · 6 days agoPope Leo XIV held his first public engagement since his lung cancer surgery on Sunday, as he recited the Angelus prayer from the window of Vatican's Apostolic Palace. The surgery had taken place just a few days before, after Pope Leo had…
Pope Leo XIV: The World Needs SaintsNational Catholic Register · 3 days agoPope Leo XIV, in his first private audience since undergoing surgery on Oct. 13, said the history of the world is inseparable from the history of the saints. “The history of the world without saints would be immeasurably poorer; that is…
Pope Leo XIV needs no further cancer treatment, Vatican saysWYFF · 3 days agoPope Leo XIV’s cancer surgery earlier this month was a success, and no further treatment is required, the Vatican press office said in a bulletin Wednesday. Related video above: What to know about lung cancer and when to get screened “The…
Pope Leo XIV: The world is poorer without saintsEWTN News · 3 days agoThe pontiff met with participants of the “Holiness in History” conference at the Vatican on Wednesday. Pope Leo XIV, in his first private audience since undergoing surgery on Oct. 13, said the history of the world is inseparable from the…
Pope Leo XIV holds first weekly audience since lung cancer surgeryABC7 San Francisco · 3 days agoROME -- Pope Leo XIV on Wednesday held his first weekly audience with the faithful in St. Peter's Square after spending a week in the hospital to have a lobe removed from his lung. Doctors declared the pope had cancer, but said they are…
Crowds welcome Pope Leo XIV back to Vatican after his surgeryCBS News · 5 days agoCBS News Colorado 10pm Sunday CBS News Detroit Weekend 11pm CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 9pm CBS News Philadelphia Weekend 11pm KDKA News Weekend 11pm CBS News Texas Weekend 10pm
Full text: Pope Leo XIV’s general audience given October 21, 2026OSV News · 3 days agoOSV News Full text: Pope Leo XIV’s general audience given October 21, 2026 (OSV News) — The following is the full text of Pope Leo XIV’s general audience address given Oct. 21 in St. Peter’s Square. The Documents of the Second Vatican…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.
TIME Person of the Year 2026 
