Brazil Presidential Election
80%Flávio Bolsonaro
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva20%▲ 3
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Will Treg Taylor drop out? (Before Nov 3, 2026)
The odds
13%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 13% on Oct 19, 13% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 13% | 12¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 5.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Treg Taylor
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Gun Owners of America endorses Bernadette Wilson for governor, urges ranking of all three RepublicansHome » Gun Owners of America endorses Bernadette Wilson for governor, urges ranking of all three Republicans Oct. 24, 2026 – Gun Owners of America has endorsed Bernadette Wilson for governor of Alaska, placing her first in its recommended… -
Disqualified House candidate decision raises questions on the future of the governor’s raceANCHORAGE, Alaska (KTUU) - A court decision for a state house race is raising questions about the future of former Attorney General Treg Taylor, a Republican running for governor. On Thursday, an Anchorage Superior Court ruled that the… - Alaska judge rules that candidate should be disqualified after failing to disclose financial interestsA state judge ruled Thursday that Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom erred when she allowed a legislative candidate to run for office despite failing to disclose his financial interests as required by law. The ruling could have implications for…
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Alaska Lt. Gov. incorrectly put disqualified candidate on the ballot, state judge rulesThe Alaska Division of Elections and Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom acted incorrectly when they put disqualified Republican candidate Jose Tagle on the ballot for state House District 22, an Anchorage Superior Court judge said Thursday. Judge… -
‘Cat and mouse’: House speaker says he’s looking forward to new administrationANCHORAGE, Alaska (KTUU) - Alaska’s House Speaker Bryce Edgmon, NA-Dillingham, struggled to describe the relationship Friday between the majority caucus and the state Legislature. “The last eight years, we have been having to play — I… -
Dunleavy refuses to back a candidate to succeed him, encourages ranking all three RepublicansANCHORAGE, Alaska (KTUU) - Alaska’s Republican governor hasn’t backed a candidate for governor, and walking out of a Wednesday press conference, it doesn’t seem like he will. “We need to vote for all three,” Gov. Mike Dunleavy said… -
Alaska Family Council backs 41 candidates based on pro-family, pro-life issuesThe Alaska Family Council has just released its list of preferred candidates in the upcoming Nov. 3 general election. In addition to endorsing 39 candidates for the State Legislature, the endorsement urges Alaskans to vote “yes” on Ballot… - What to know as the 60th Alaska Federation of Natives convention starts Thursday in AnchorageThe 60th annual Alaska Federation of Natives convention kicks off on Thursday in Anchorage, a cultural extravaganza that draws thousands of people from all corners of Alaska for traditional dancing, Native art, and of course, political…
- Every Statewide Race in Alaska Is Close, as 7 in 10 Voters Worry About Affording Gas and FoodNew Data for Progress polling finds close races for governor, U.S. Senate, and U.S. House in Alaska as worry about the cost of living keeps climbing. The cost of living continues to be Alaska voters’ top issue by far. At least 7 in 10…
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Mike Dunleavy: Vote, plus five. Alaska’s future won’t protect itselfHome » Mike Dunleavy: Vote, plus five. Alaska’s future won’t protect itself By GOV. MIKE DUNLEAVY Oct. 20, 2026 – Early voting is underway in Alaska. We have a tremendous opportunity in front of us, and yet a very real possibility of… - ‘Show up and do your part’: Early voting begins in Alaska with long lines in AnchorageJUNEAU — Early voting began Monday morning, with Alaskans across the state lining up outside polling places to cast their ballots ahead of the Nov. 3 general election. On the November ballot are races for governor, U.S. Senate, U.S. House…
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Conservatives worry Trump’s Alaska visit may have done more harm than goodIt’s been nearly a week since President Trump held a rally in Wasilla campaigning for Republican candidates up and down the ballot. He urged supporters to vote for Republicans in the races for House and Senate and unveiled his pick for…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions