Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)
189.1median
140230
Median 189.1Middle half 174.1 – 201.4
Install
Will the US reopen its embassy in Syria? (Before 2028)
The odds
52%Before 2028
- Before 202852%
- Before 202712%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Before 2028: 34% on Oct 20, 52% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2028 | 52% | 47¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 409 | |
| Before 2027 | 12% | ▲ 1 | 9¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 25.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Syria
Search ›-
Syrians Detained Amid Israeli Incursions in SyriaWollongong-based online news outlet covering Australia and beyond. If you have anything newsworthy - a story, video or picture to share with us, please email us. The UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, Volker Türk, is concerned by the… -
Israeli forces detain 3 during latest incursion in southern SyriaQUNEITRA: Israeli forces detained three people during an incursion into northern Quneitra countryside on Saturday, according to the Syrian Arab Republic’s state news agency SANA, as Damascus renewed calls for international action to halt… -
Syrian Govt Accuses ‘Outlaw Groups’ of Blocking Sweida-Damascus HighwayThe "outlaw groups", affiliated with Druze spiritual leader Sheikh Hikmat al-Hijri reportedly blocked around 100 employees from reaching their workplaces in northern Sweida on Wednesday and had previously prevented students from travelling… -
Protecting minorities: A test for Syria's new political orderUAE's Ras Al Khaimah closes beaches amid regional oil spill Over 100 groups call for release of Mada Masr editor-in-chief Iran vows to block US warships from Gulf amid Trump threats Protecting minorities: A test for Syria's new political… -
Casualties Reported in Syrian Security Operation Against Daesh CellSyrian internal security forces suffered casualties during a targeted operation against a suspected Daesh cell in the town of Rankous, located in the northwestern countryside of Damascus. Security sources confirmed on Wednesday that the… -
Hawari: Syria could lose a century without guaranteed rightsNidal Hawari warned that Syria could lose another century if the transitional administration fails to overcome its crises and secure lasting guarantees for the rights of all peoples. Hawari stressed that developments in Syria could not be… - Israeli forces detain three during latest incursion in southern SyriaQUNEITRA: Israeli forces detained three people during an incursion into northern Quneitra countryside on Saturday, according to Syria’s state news agency SANA, as Damascus renewed calls for international action to halt Israeli operations…
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Syria urges UN for protection against Israeli attacksNEW YORK: Syria has called on the international community to protect its sovereignty against Israeli attacks, saying the country is committed to meeting its international obligations and rebuilding trust after decades of rule by the ousted… -
Assad Is Gone, Former Supporters Remain: Can Syria Reconcile Without Justice?As families continue searching for missing loved ones, the reemergence of figures associated with Bashar Assad’s former government raises questions about accountability, economic settlements, and the future of Syria’s political transition… -
Amnesty International calls for Israel to be held accountable for attacks on SyriaLondon, Oct. 25 (SANA) Amnesty International has called for Israel to be held accountable for violations of international law, saying it continues to carry out military attacks on Syria and has committed unlawful acts against civilians in… -
Syria and Oman discuss bus manufacturing and transport servicesDamascus, Oct. 25 (SANA) Syrian Transport Minister Yarub Badr discussed cooperation and investment opportunities in Syria’s transport sector with Ibrahim bin Damascus, Oct. 25 (SANA) Syrian Transport Minister Yarub Badr discussed… - The New Kurdish Movement of Syria calls for ensuring the free activity of political parties in SyriaZeido considered the revival of political life and the activation of the role of parties as a requirement for the reconstruction of Syria and the progress of this country in the political, economic and educational fields, and stated that…
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185.8median
140230
Median 185.8Middle half 176.3 – 197.5
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions