Brazil Presidential Election
80%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro80%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva20%
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San Francisco District 8 Supervisor election winner? (2026)
The odds
64%Gary McCoy
- Gary McCoy64%▼ 5
- Darshini Patel20%▲ 8
- Michael Nguyen3%▼ 1
- Manny Yekutiel3%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Gary McCoy: 66% on Oct 20, 64% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary McCoy | 64% | ▼ 5 | 62¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | 6.5K |
| Darshini Patel | 20% | ▲ 8 | 16¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 6.1K |
| Michael Nguyen | 3% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 8.6K |
| Manny Yekutiel | 3% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | $20.00 | 9.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: San Francisco District Supervisor, Gary McCoy, Darshini Patel
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Election Extra! Gary McCoy nets contributions, Saikat Chakrabarti commits more money to Connie ChanIn the few remaining days before the Nov. 3 election, Mission Local will be posting “election extras” with updates from the campaign trail. Today: A surprise rush of contributions to District 8 supervisor candidate Gary McCoy, and former… - Manny Yekutiel’s campaign hasn’t repaid $255k in public financing yet, city saysManny Yekutiel says suspended, not ended — a distinction that could determine whether he must return $255,000 in taxpayer funds. Manny Yekutiel says he’s out of the race for supervisor. His campaign, it seems, isn’t. San Francisco law…
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The cynical, selective outrage over Gary McCoy’s troubled pastGary McCoy, the improbable front-runner to be the next Castro supervisor, wears his troubled past as prominently as his oversized eyeglasses. It is not a subject he shies away from; McCoy highlights his many years as a homeless… -
SF Democrats Move to Endorse Gary McCoy for District 8 SupervisorGet informed in minutes with our Voter Guide for California’s November 3 election. The San Francisco Democratic Party is officially rescinding its endorsement of Manny Yekutiel for District 8 Supervisor, throwing its support instead behind… -
Prominent S.F. moderate group backs unlikely candidate in District 8 raceCandidate Darshini Patel participates in a forum discussion for District 8 Supervisor candidates in Noe Valley, San Francisco, on Wednesday, Aug. 12, 2026. Candidates Gary McCoy, Manny Yekutiel, Michael Nguyen, and Darshini Patel covered… - SF Democrats dump Manny Yekutiel, endorse Gary McCoy in District 8 raceParty chair Nancy Tung admitted DCCC’s misconduct policy failed accusers but rejected calls to resign. The San Francisco Democratic Party voted Sunday night to rescind its endorsement of Manny Yekutiel and back Gary McCoy for District 8…
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SF Dems handily endorse Gary McCoy in fraught meeting after Manny Yekutiel’s exitSan Francisco’s Democratic Party on Sunday evening coalesced behind Gary McCoy for District 8 supervisor in a fraught, three-hour emergency meeting necessitated by the withdrawal of prior endorsee Manny Yekutiel. Yekutiel, far and away the… - Poll: Scandal tanks Manny Yekutiel’s support. The D8 race is down to 2 candidatesThe poll was commissioned by GrowSF, a moderate-aligned political group that had previously supported Yekutiel. A poll taken days after Manny Yekutiel dropped out of the District 8 supervisor race in the wake of sexual assault allegations…
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DCCC chair won't step down???and can utterly avoid accountabilityThere appears to be no process to recall an elected member of a party central committee. The fallout from the billionaire takeover of the San Francisco Democratic Party continues, and it’s raised an interesting legal question about the… - Pelosi Joins Gary McCoy Door-Knocking, Declares He'll Win D8 Supervisor RaceFormer House Speaker Nancy Pelosi canvassed with District 8 supervisor candidate Gary McCoy on Tuesday, publicly backing his campaign and predicting he would win. Pelosi said McCoy understands voters’ concerns about rent, small businesses…
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Is Manny Yekutiel Going to Re-Enter the District 8 Race?It appears that the moderate political group GrowSF has been quickly and quietly doing some polling to see how voters feel about the possibility of Manny Yekutiel resuming his campaign for supervisor, following last week's new sexual… -
Manny Yekutiel accuser Brad Chapin got his ‘life back.’ Now, he’s announcing an endorsement.Brad Chapin, the man who first accused Emanuel “Manny” Yekutiel of sexual assault in June, said that he was so stressed in the months that followed that he could hardly sleep. Now that Yekutiel is out of the race, he says he’s better, and…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.