Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)
189.3median
140230
Median 189.3Middle half 177.0 – 200.9
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When will Scotland call a snap election?
The odds
29%Before Jan 1, 2028
- Before Jul 1, 202716%
- Before Jan 1, 202829%
How the odds have moved
Before Jul 1, 2027: 16% on Oct 19, 16% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 16% | 11¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 2.00 | |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 29% | 25¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 2.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Scottish Parliament, Scotland
Search ›-
Scottish Parliament backs wind farm compensation for fishermenA vote in the Scottish Parliament has established the principle that fishermen should be compensated for financial losses caused by offshore wind development. On 7 October, MSPs voted to support an amendment to the Holyrood debate on… -
Scottish Greens condemn far-right protest at Edinburgh CastleTHE Scottish Greens have condemned a far-right demonstration outside Edinburgh Castle after footage emerged showing upwards of 100 masked men dressed in black standing in military-style formation. The seven-minute video, apparently staged… -
Scotland's papers: Markle abuse letter and indy summit callStorm Boelo brings 85mph gusts and travel disruption with amber weather warnings in effect I lost my job in a primary school due to endometriosis Students like new tenancy freedoms - but landlords warn of higher rents From Russian cages to… -
Former Scotland winger on rape chargesThe post Former Scotland winger on rape charges appeared first on The Rugby Paper. Resurgent Tigers cut loose to slay Saints Mitchell issues PWR warning after back-to-back defeats England get set for World Cup blast off Read more at The… -
Storm Boelo floods town centre of Largs, ScotlandFollow this story live. Up Next. Fireworks and tear gas as protesters and riot police clash in Paris. Video, 00:01:18Fireworks and tear gas as protesters and riot police clash in Paris The rise of AI election ads in US midterms campaign… -
Amber weather warning as Storm Boelo hits ScotlandVideo, 00:01:14Amber weather warning as Storm Boelo hits Scotland Up Next. The rise of AI election ads in US midterms campaign. Video, 00:01:57The rise of AI election ads in US midterms campaign CCTV footage shows gunmen near church in… -
Scottish Greens call on Swinney to stop 'swithering' on oil and gasGillian Mackay urged Prime Minister Andy Burnham to stop production at Rosebank from going ahead The leaders of the Scottish Green Party have condemned the UK and Scottish government's positions on new oil and gas drilling. Speaking at the… -
The strange case of Miss X and Scotland's 'most haunted' houseDeep in Highland Perthshire stood a mansion with the undesirable reputation of being Scotland's "most haunted house". Ballechin appeared to have it all - ghostly hounds, a spectral nun, floating beds - and rapping on walls that kept… -
Motherwell vs Heart of Midlothian: Scottish Premiership radio commentary, updates & reportScott AllanFormer Hibs and Celtic midfielder on BBC Sportsound Ultimately if you don't take the chances you're creating you fall to another defeat. When you're not taking those chances it just puts more pressure on you defensively. See if… - Rangers 4-0 St Johnstone: Scottish Premiership updates & reportUnited make it three wins from four after a sensational 90 minutes at Tannadice comes to an end. Neither of these sides have been known for their fine attacking play this season, but both of them absolutely went for it, hammer and tongs…
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Scotland men beat Ireland in dramatic shinty-hurling internationalScotland grabbed a stunning 24-23 victory over Ireland's hurlers in a cliffhanging shinty-hurling international in Cork, to bring a series of three Irish successes to an end. The winning point was finally scored by Kingussie's Zander… - Saturday's Scottish Premiership & Championship LIVE: radio coverage & text commentaryFT: Dundee United 3-2 Aberdeen - United take the lead for the third time in enthralling encounter FT: Falkirk 3-0 Kilmarnock - McCarthy's OG, Murrell header & another own goal from Stanger FT: Rangers 4-0 St Johnstone - Kelsy (2), Naderi &…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions