Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
3%chance
Install
Will CMS release any deferred Medicaid funds to California or Minnesota? (Before Jan 1, 2027)
The odds
50%Before Jan 1, 2027
- Before Jan 1, 202750%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 52% on Oct 19, 50% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | 8% | $12.50 | 2.4K | |||
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 50% | ▼ 1 | 46¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | 354 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Medicaid, California, Minnesota
Search ›-
Trump withholding additional $1.2 billion in Medicaid funding from CaliforniaWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Anti Fraud Task Force defers $1.2B in California Medicaid payments over fraud concernsFox News Anti Fraud Task Force defers $1.2B in California Medicaid payments over fraud concerns The Anti Fraud Task Force cracks down on healthcare fraud by deferring billions in Medicaid funding. Federal officials defer $1.2 billion from… -
Democrats demand tougher standards for companies running Medicaid systemsOctober 20, 2026 / 5:00 AM EDT / KFF Health News A group of Democratic senators is demanding that the federal agency overseeing Medicaid — the health coverage program for people with low incomes or disabilities — institute tougher… -
California’s dysfunction should stay in CaliforniaWashington Examiner As the midterm elections approach, liberals are bragging about California as a beacon of progress and economic success. This is one of my biggest issues with California. As someone who has done business in the state and… -
At least $9B billed across 14 Medicaid services in Minnesota may be fraudulent, top prosecutor saysUpdated on: December 18, 2025 / 7:22 PM CST / CBS/AP A top prosecutor suggested on Thursday that the total amount of fraud in Minnesota could be $9 billion or more. According to First Assistant U.S. Attorney Joe Thompson, 14 Medicaid… -
Feds hold back an additional $1.2 billion in California Medicaid reimbursementsWASHINGTON — The Trump administration is deferring an additional $1.2 billion in Medicaid reimbursements to California, citing concerns about potential fraud in a state program that helps older adults and people with disabilities with… -
Next Governor To Face Thorny Choices After California’s Rapid Medicaid ExpansionIn March 2025, when California ran out of Medicaid funds to pay doctors and hospitals, the state borrowed $3.4 billion to keep the program afloat. It was, as a spokesperson for Gov. Gavin Newsom insisted, nothing new. Indeed, a handful of… - Medicaid cuts haunt Republicans in battleground statesDemocrats’ confidence in their health care message is showing up on the airwaves and the debate stage. 10/19/2026 4:07 PM EDT Democrats in battleground states seeking to flip control of Congress in November are counting on a potent weapon…
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Dissecting Trump's election messaging; updates in Minnesota, Florida racesCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Latest on… -
Minnesota Vikings Add ‘Explosive’ Cornerback in Roster AdjustmentThe Minnesota Vikings have bolstered their back end with Natrone Brooks. "The #Vikings have signed CB Natrone Brooks to the practice squad," the Vikings announced in a post on X on October 20. This is Brooks' second stint with the Vikings… -
2026 Minnesota Golden Gophers in the NFL: Week 6Gibbons played 49 defensive snaps and three on special teams in the Cardinals upset win over the Rams. He recorded seven tackles, four of them solo. Bateman played just 17 snaps in the first half before getting knocked out of the game with… -
Minnesota gubernatorial candidates spar over fraud in first debateFox News Minnesota gubernatorial candidates spar over fraud in first debate Fraud that occurred during the Walz era was front and center in the first debate between Dem. Sen. Amy Klobuchar and MN GOP House Speaker Lisa Demuth.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.