How long will Trump's next Press Secretary last? (Before Jan 20, 2029)

Kalshi Politics › Trump administration Closes Jan 21, 2029 · $20 today · $4K traded · $3.3K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

157.1median
01,095
Median 157.1Middle half 71.4 – 425.8

How the odds have moved

Median: 166.7 on Oct 20, 157.1 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
At least 7 days 94% 91¢ 96¢ $1.04 4.1K
At least 14 days 90% ▲ 1 85¢ 95¢ $1.05
At least 30 days 85% ▲ 1 80¢ 90¢ $1.11
At least 60 days 80% ▲ 1 75¢ 85¢ $1.18
At least 100 days 63% ▲ 1 58¢ 67¢ $1.49 241
At least 180 days 45% ▼ 1 40¢ 50¢ $2.00 70.00
At least 365 days 28% ▲ 1 23¢ 33¢ $3.03 5.00
At least 730 days 10% ▲ 1 5¢ 15¢ $6.67

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Press Secretary

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions