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Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Black Ball | 97% | ▲ 2 | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 3.9K |
| All of a Sudden | 91% | ▲ 4 | 88¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 3.6K |
| Fjord | 79% | ▼ 2 | 78¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 24.5K |
| Possible Love | 79% | ▲ 9 | 75¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 4.7K |
| 1949 / Fatherland | 50% | ▲ 1 | 47¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 6.3K |
| Minotaur | 50% | ▲ 1 | 47¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 5.9K |
| Coward | 36% | ▲ 1 | 33¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 2.3K |
| Rose | 26% | ▲ 1 | 22¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 1.4K |
| The Dreamed Adventure | 9% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 465 |
| Sheep in the Box | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 931 | |
| Hope | 4% | ▼ 5 | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 5.2K |
| Bitter Christmas | 3% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 1.7K |
| The Beloved | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 314 | |
| Parallel Tales | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 2.6K | |
| The Man I Love | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 1.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Nominations Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.