Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 3, 2026
66.01%median
49.7%85.1%
Median 66.01%Middle half 61.67% – 70.35%
Install
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 4, 2026
The odds
66.39%median
63.2%70.1%
Median 66.39%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 64.4% | 63% | 59¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | ||
| Above 65.6% | 56% | 52¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | ||
| Above 67.7% | 40% | 38¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | ||
| Above 68.9% | 33% | 32¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Closed Token Volume
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1,410median
1,3801,480
Median 1,410Middle half 1,405 – 1,415
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions