Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)
189.1median
140230
Median 189.1Middle half 174.1 – 201.4
Install
Will Nord Stream 2 open? (Before 2027)
The odds
2%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 3% on Oct 19, 2% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 8.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Nord Stream
Search ›-
Nord Stream Sabotage Suspect Faces German War Crime ChargeA gas leak from Nord stream 1 is seen in the Swedish economic zone in the Baltic Sea in this picture taken from the Swedish Coast Guard aircraft on September 28, 2022. Swedish Coast Guard/Handout via TT News Agency/via REUTERS Oct 18, 2026… -
Zelensky’s diesel burnout, Nord Stream on trial, Russiagate revived: RT stories that shaped the weekThis week did not start well for Ukrainian leader Vladimir Zelensky, who was apparently blindsided by US President Donald Trump’s decision to suspend sanctions on Russian diesel supplies after talks with the Kremlin. The deal won’t… -
Nord Stream Sabotage Trial Begins With Explosive Allegations Against UkraineAuthored by RFE/RL staff via OilPrice.com, After four years of speculation, leaks, and briefings by anonymous sources, the world is finally about to hear evidence given publicly under oath in a German courtroom about how the Nord Stream… -
Germany puts Ukrainian on trial over Nord Stream sabotageHelp rescue animals from the front line — shop our Companion Collection 🐾 Ukrainian citizen Serhii Kuznetsov went to trial in Hamburg on Oct. 14 on suspicion of involvement in the sabotage of the Nord Stream pipelines. A series of… -
Nord Stream pipeline sabotage trial begins in HamburgA former Ukrainian army officer stands accused of blowing up the Nord Stream pipelines which supplied Russian gas to Germany. Kyiv insists it played no role in the sabotage. The trial of a former Ukrainian army officer accused of… -
Ukrainian on trial in Germany over Nord Stream blastsA former Ukrainian military officer is facing trial in Germany, charged with masterminding the covert 2022 attack on the Nord Stream pipelines that severed Western Europe's main conduit for Russian natural gas. Serhii Kuznetsov appeared on… -
Nord Stream Trial Could Only Lead to Ukrainian Leadership ‘Reshuffling’ - ExpertThe ongoing trial of a Ukrainian man accused of participating in the destruction of the Nord Stream gas pipelines in 2022 is unlikely to have a meaningful impact on Germany’s involvement in the Ukrainian conflict, German political analyst… -
Ukrainian Suspect on Trial for Blowing Up Nord Stream Pipeline in GermanyA Ukrainian national accused of helping orchestrate the 2022 sabotage of the Nord Stream gas pipelines appeared before a court in Hamburg, Germany, on Wednesday, 14 October, becoming the first suspect to stand trial over an attack that… -
Who Is Serhii Kuznetsov, The Ukrainian Ex-Officer On Trial Over Nord Stream?The trial in Germany is examining the September 2022 explosions that damaged the Nord Stream gas pipelines in the Baltic Sea, with prosecutors alleging a Ukrainian military-linked operation and the defence arguing that the pipelines were… -
Ukrainian soldier to go on trial over sabotage of Nord Stream gas pipelinesSpecial forces officer Serhii Kuznetsov denies involvement in the 2022 blasts that left pipelines badly damaged A Ukrainian soldier is to go on trial in Hamburg accused of taking part in one of the most brazen acts of sabotage in postwar… -
Former Ukrainian officer goes on trial over sabotage of Nord Stream pipelinesA former Ukrainian army officer goes on trial in Germany on Wednesday over undersea explosions that damaged the Nord Stream gas pipelines linking Russia and Germany four years ago in what is considered one of Europe’s biggest acts of… -
Nord Stream Trial Opens in Germany as Defence Challenges War Crimes Charges Against Ukrainian OfficerThe first criminal trial arising from the destruction of the Nord Stream gas pipelines has opened in Hamburg, confronting German judges with allegations against a former Ukrainian military officer and a dispute over whether Russian energy…
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293.4median
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Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)
197.2median
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Median 197.2Middle half 189.8 – 202.7
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)
185.8median
140230
Median 185.8Middle half 176.0 – 197.5
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Feb 27, 2028even chance by
- Before Nov 1, 20262%
- Before Dec 1, 20265%
- Before Jan 1, 20278%
14 more
- Before Feb 1, 20279%▼ 1
- Before Mar 1, 202714%▼ 2
- Before Apr 1, 202718%
- Before May 1, 202719%▼ 2
- Before Jun 1, 202725%
- Before Jul 1, 202731%
- Before Aug 1, 202733%
- Before Sep 1, 202734%▼ 1
- Before Oct 1, 202737%
- Before Nov 1, 202741%
- Before Dec 1, 202741%
- Before Jan 1, 202848%▼ 1
- Before Jul 1, 202856%
- Before Jan 1, 202960%
Will France declare a state of emergency? (Before Jan 1, 2027)
17%Before Jan 1, 2027
- Before Nov 1, 20268%▼ 4
- Before Jan 1, 202717%▼ 3
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.