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>99%October 31
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Will Trump order more tariffs in Nov 2026?
The odds
65%chance▼ 3
How the odds have moved
Yes: 67% on Nov 2, 65% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65% | ▼ 3 | 61¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | 176 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: tariffs, tariff
Search ›- ‘It’s worth it to me’: Michigan voter weighs in on Trump’s tariffsCNN's Arlette Saenz spoke with Michigan voters at rallies held by former President Barack Obama in Detroit and President Donald Trump in Port Huron about the economy and its influence on their voting decisions. Former President Barack…
- White House official addresses inflation and tariff concernsNational Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett joins 'The Sunday Briefing' to discuss the impact of the administration's economic policies, inflation and tariffs. White House official addresses inflation and tariff concerns National…
- US to remove some Canadian tariffs ahead of electionsThe US announced plans to remove tariffs on certain Canadian products after an embattled Republican senator in Maine lobbied for the move as the White House looks to bolster its candidates ahead of Nov. 3. The US announced plans to remove…
- Small businesses struggling with inflation amid Trump tariffs ahead of midtermsWBZ News Weekend 6pm CBS News Chicago Saturday 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6pm KDKA News Saturday 6pm Your Stories From Your Community Reporters CBS News Texas Saturday 5pm
- Trump: Tariffs have made us richPresident Donald Trump discusses the impact of his tariffs on the United States at a midterm campaign rally in Fort Myers, Fla. Trump: Tariffs have made us rich President Donald Trump discusses the impact of his tariffs on the United…
- Trade tariffs cause whiplash at Port MilwaukeeSacha Pfeiffer visits Port Milwaukee to see how President Trump's tariffs have affected the flow of goods and impacted the regional economy. Trade tariffs cause whiplash at Port Milwaukee Sacha Pfeiffer visits Port Milwaukee to see how…
- Obama rips Trump for tariffs and White House renovations as he touts El-Sayed in DetroitBarack Obama ripped and ridiculed President Trump at a Detroit rally Saturday night — where he vouched for Abdul El-Sayed, despite the lefty Michigan Democratic Senate candidate’s past criticism of him. The former president took on Trump…
- Audi defends plans for a $4 billion Georgia plant amid VW restructuring, tariffsDETROIT — Audi's CEO defended the carmaker's plans for a new $4 billion plant in Georgia on Sunday, calling it a business decision aimed at growing sales and reducing exposure to U.S. tariffs. The plant, set to be Audi's first in the U.S…
- Democrats face crack-up on Trump’s tariffsTrump’s aggressive — and unpopular — use of tariffs in his second term has created an opening for more trade-friendly voices in the party, after a decade in the political wilderness. Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate Abdul El-Sayed speaks…
- Trump rolls back some Canada tariffs as midterm election approachesBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The Trump…
- Trump dropping some Canada tariffs but ‘replacing’ them with other productsThe U.S. will issue tariff exemptions on several categories of Canadian imports, Sen. Susan Collins announced Friday. Trump dropping some Canada tariffs but âreplacingâ them with other products
- Trump administration cancels some Canada tariffs, Sen. Susan Collins saysThe Trump administration has granted tariff exemptions on some Canadian products, Republican Sen. Susan Collins, who’s facing a tough re-election battle in Maine, said Friday. The move is an implicit acknowledgement that President Donald…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions