Brazil Presidential Election
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North Carolina early voters: party registration margin? (As of Nov 4, 2026)
The odds
8.48median
-5.809.90
Median 8.48Middle half 6.57 – 9.19
How the odds have moved
Median: 3.08 on Oct 19, 8.48 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R+4 or more | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| R+2 to R+3.9 | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| R+0.1 to R+1.9 | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| D+0 to D+1.9 | 2% | ▼ 14 | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 25.00 |
| D+2 to D+3.9 | 6% | ▼ 14 | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 29.00 |
| D+4 to D+5.9 | 5% | ▼ 11 | 1¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 25.00 |
| D+6 to D+7.9 | 12% | ▼ 1 | 8¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 300 |
| D+8 or more | 67% | ▲ 6 | 68¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | 960 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: North Carolina
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The Senate Race in North Carolina: Our Nation Needs Michael WhatleyEighteen months ago, I had the good fortune of attending a presentation by Michael Whatley, back then the national GOP chair and currently a candidate for the U.S. Senate, running against Democrat Roy Cooper. The evening with Mr. Whatley… -
Donald Trump’s egregious extortion of North Carolina | OpinionThe Trump Administration’s extortion of North Carolina through the withholding of federal funding has been one of the most egregious actions that any president has done to an American state. Recently, it has shown a continual pattern of… -
Unpacking early voting trends in North Carolina and FloridaCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Early voting trends… -
WATCH LIVE: Roy Cooper headlines Get Out the Vote concert in North CarolinaDemocratic Senate nominee Roy Cooper speaks to supporters and hosts a Get Out the Vote concert in Carrboro, North Carolina. WATCH LIVE: Roy Cooper headlines Get Out the Vote concert in North Carolina Democratic Senate nominee Roy Cooper… -
North Carolina joins 25 states in urging Congress for AI regulationBREAKING: Miguel Salguero Olivares found guilty of first-degree murder and rape of Faith Hedgepeth The DTH extends Community Advisory Board application deadline to Oct. 28 On Sept. 23, N.C. Attorney General Jeff Jackson joined a bipartisan… - Roy Cooper speaks with voters in Greensboro with one week of early voting left in North CarolinaDemocrat and former governor Roy Cooper spoke with voters at an early voting site in Greensboro Saturday morning as he and Republican opponent Michael Whatley drove affordability messages and attacks in the final stretch of the midterm…
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‘If You Have to Cheat to Win, You Don’t Deserve the Victory’: North Carolina Ballot Rejections Fuel Outrage Over New Envelope RuleDylan is an Editor at The Nerd Stash and has been writing about video games, TV, and movies for over a decade now. He typically covers horror, RPGs, shooters, Roblox, indie titles, and movies. He loves reading, pizza and skateboarding… -
The North Carolina Democrat Holding Out for IsraelNC Dept of Public Safety (CC BY-NC-ND 2.0) Pro-Israel hawks like U.S. Senate candidate Roy Cooper are a rapidly shrinking group within the Democratic Party. One measure of this shift is that the once-influential Democratic Majority for… -
U.S Senate Race in North Carolina: Roy Cooper, Michael Whatley battle to replace Senator TillisDemocrat Roy Cooper and Republican Michael Whatley are offering North Carolina voters different sets of priorities as they compete for the state’s open U.S. Senate seat. Cooper’s campaign is emphasizing plans to lower costs for families… - What Happens If North Carolina’s State Budget Is Not Enacted by July 1? by Kara MillonziNorth Carolina Local Government Law Blog But what if July 1 of an odd-numbered year arrives and there’s no new budget in place? Before 2017, when the General Assembly was unable to enact a full budget in time, it had to quickly pass one or…
- Fact-checking Stein’s claim about mail-in ballot rejections in North CarolinaNorth Carolina Gov. Josh Stein said a higher percentage of mail-in ballots is being rejected this year over technicalities — a trend he called “infuriating” while sharing a statistic that wasn’t supported by state data. “The State Board of…
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Unaffiliated voters’ growing influence in North CarolinaCHARLOTTE (QUEEN CITY NEWS) -- With a lot of seats up for grabs on election day, politicians are looking to pick up support wherever they can, especially among those who do not claim a specific party. In North Carolina, unaffiliated voters…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions