Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
99%chance
Install
Will marijuana be rescheduled?
The odds
Jul 26, 2027even chance by
- Before Jan 1, 20274%
- Before Apr 1, 202734%▼ 1
- Before Jul 1, 202747%▼ 1
- Before Oct 1, 202760%▲ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202869%
- Before Jan 20, 202988%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Before Apr 1, 2027: 38% on Oct 20, 34% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 4% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20.83 | 828.9K | |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 34% | ▼ 1 | 33¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 2.6K |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 47% | ▼ 1 | 45¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | 3.6K |
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | 60% | ▲ 1 | 57¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | 67.00 |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 69% | 68¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | 142.4K | |
| Before Jan 20, 2029 | 88% | ▼ 1 | 85¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 83.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Schedule I, Lowered
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LDH adds three kratom-related substances to Schedule I controlled substance listThe state Department of Health (LDH) has issued an emergency rule adding three kratom-related substances related to 7-hydroxymitragynine and mitragynine to Schedule I of Louisiana’s controlled dangerous substances list. Monroe police… -
LDH adds three substances to Schedule I controlled substances listThe Louisiana Department of Health announced that three substances found in kratom compounds have been added to the state's Schedule I controlled dangerous substances list. The three substances are related to 7-hydroxymitragynine and… -
Trump to lower Canada tariffs for certain agricultural goods, Collins saysThe Maine senator said she was able to secure tariff exemptions for a number of Canadian imports her state's agriculture industry relies on, less than two weeks before the midterm election. Sen. Susan Collins speaks with reporters as she… -
Highs in the lower 60s Friday before chilly weekend | NEXT WeatherCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Highs in… -
5 Lower-Cost Free Agents Who Fit the Mariners PerfectlyThe Mariners need to raise the floor of their roster. Obviously the main focus is on bringing in a strong manager. We can spend the winter arguing about the biggest available bat, but somebody still has to catch a fly ball, cover an injury… -
Pistons' Jalen Duren exits game vs. Heat with lower-leg injuryThe Detroit Pistons (1-0) took the to the road for tonight’s 8 pm matchup against the Miami Heat (0-1) Roundtable Sports Heat Get Unexpected Roster News After Giannis Antetokounmpo Calls Out Team The ... - Pistons' Jalen Duren exits game… -
Trump lacks options to lower gas prices without ending warPresident Donald Trump has just one way left to bring down gas prices: ending the Iran war. Already, his administration has expanded access to red-dyed diesel; unlocked Russian diesel; waived the Jones Act; and tapped the US strategic… -
Nationals leader Matt Canavan eyes move to lower house as pollster warns of One Nation wipeoutMichelle Landry announces she will not recontest her Queensland seat of Capricornia at the next election Get our new political email, free app or daily news podcast Matt Canavan could attempt a switch to the House of Representatives after… -
Crest 3D Whitestrips are currently on sale for even lower than their Prime Day priceHere’s something that will make you smile: Crest’s 3D Professional Effects Whitestrips, our favorite at-home whitening treatment, are 24 percent off on Amazon right now. We haven’t seen the price this low since the summer, and not even… -
DeFi tokens lead crypto lower as bitcoin (BTC) price gives up Wednesday’s surgeBitcoin as much as 2.9% to around $81,600 as Nasdaq futures dropped, while the CoinDesk 80 lost 3.5% and DeFi index slid 6%. Bitcoin BTC$84.459,46 slid by the most in two weeks, losing as much as 2.9% since midnight UTC to below $82,000… -
ETH news: Ethereum’s four-minute settlement plan could lower the cost of moving cryptoEthereum researchers want to cut the wait for a transaction to become final from about 16 minutes to roughly four, a change that could make it cheaper to move money between blockchains. Its initial target is a four-fold improvement, though… -
Browns Reveal Promising Update on Mason Graham Following Lower-Body InjuryEven without Mason Graham, the Cleveland Browns' defense is elite. And whenever he does ultimately return, there's a chance that the Browns get even better. Fortunately, on Wednesday, Oct. 21, the Browns announced that Graham is getting…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.