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Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration in 2026?
The odds
26%chance▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Yes: 25% on Oct 19, 26% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 26% | ▼ 1 | 21¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Kristi Noem
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DOJ probes Corey Lewandowski over improper awarding of DHS contracts under Kristi NoemWASHINGTON — The Department of Justice is probing ex-Trump aide Corey Lewandowski over whether he profited off his top position at the Department of Homeland Security, The Post has confirmed. Lewandowski, who was President Trump’s first… -
Did Kristi Noem use fake State Department letterhead after losing Trump’s envoy role? What reports revealKristi Noem is under scrutiny after allegedly posting a statement with fake State Department letterhead. The statement claimed her envoy position was always a six-month role and that she remained an advisor. However, sources indicated the… -
‘Corrupt’: Kristi Noem Accused of Faking Letterhead to Save Face as Her Rumored Beau Faces the FedsFormer Department of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem faces fresh scrutiny after allegedly posting an unauthorized press release with fake State Department letterhead to explain her departure from another role in President Donald… -
Kristi Noem Accused Of Going 'Rogue' With Fake State Department LetterheadFormer Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem apparently wasn't content to let the State Department handle its own announcements. According to a new report, Noem went rogue and posted an unauthorized press release on social media to… -
Kristi Noem accused of creating fake State Department press release after envoy role endedFormer US Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem has been accused of posting an unauthorised State Department press release using fabricated department letterhead to explain her departure as President Donald Trump’s special envoy for the… -
Kristi Noem Accused of Going 'Rogue' With Fake State Department Statement About Her Own Job StatusFormer Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem posted a statement on X bearing State Department letterhead about her own job status that department leadership had not authorised, according to two people familiar with her work cited by… -
Kristi Noem accused of putting out a fake press release about her leaving Trump administration roleNoem has faced numerous scandals — from her handling of immigration that led to multiple citizen deaths to an alleged affair with a close advisor Kristi Noem has been accused of putting out a fake press release about her leaving her latest… - Kristi Noem Accused Of Sharing ‘Fake’ State Department Press ReleaseKristi Noem has been accused of publishing an unauthorised press release bearing State Department letterhead after her appointment as special envoy to US President Donald Trump’s Shield of the Americas security initiative came to an end…
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Kristi Noem caught faking State Dept letterhead to swat down firing rumors: reportAmid rumors she was being ousted from the State Department, former Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem put out what looked like an official press release on social media stating she was still a “senior adviser,” according to a report… -
Kristi Noem Hit with Another Blow Days After Role ‘Expired’ As Rumored Lover Faces DOJ ProbeFormer Department of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem’s reported boyfriend faces a rare and unusual investigation from President Donald Trump’s Justice Department. The Wall Street Journal first reported that the probe follows a DHS… -
ICE Barbie Kristi Noem Busted Faking Her Credentials as Alleged Lover Corey Lewandowski ProbedKristi Noem's efforts to put rumors about her job to rest have landed her in another controversy. The former Homeland Security secretary reportedly "went rogue" and created a fake press release purporting to come from the State Department… -
Trump admin. launches investigation into Kristi Noem's former aide Corey LewandowskiWashington DC - President Donald Trump's administration has reportedly launched an investigation into Corey Lewandowski, the former top aide to ousted Department of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem. According to The Wall Street…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions