María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
Install
Steve Feinberg out as Deputy Secretary of Defense? (Before Jul 1, 2027)
The odds
Dec 16, 2026even chance by
- Before Nov 1, 202614%▲ 1
- Before Dec 1, 202642%▲ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202760%▲ 1
- Before Jul 1, 202770%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Before Nov 1, 2026: 14% on Oct 19, 14% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 14% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 6.00 |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 42% | ▲ 1 | 37¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | 5.00 |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 60% | ▲ 1 | 56¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | 8.00 |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 70% | ▲ 1 | 65¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Deputy Secretary of Defense, Steve Feinberg
Search ›-
Bill Clements documentary revisits his 1978 Texas governor’s raceFilmmaker Mat Hames can't help but spread the word about a Texas political figure who was foolish enough to think he could break one political party's stranglehold on Texas elections and maybe even usher in an unheard-of era of… -
Pentagon to Develop Deep-Cover Espionage Capabilities Against ChinaThe Pentagon plans to employ spies known as “nonofficial cover officers,” or NOCs, who operate without an official US government affiliation (Kyle Anzalone, Libertarian Institute) The Department of War is seeking to build a more robust… -
Pentagon's Secret Tech Agency Targets Foreign Military Technology With Hacking and SabotageThe Pentagon has reportedly created a new Technology Support Office (TSO) to help disrupt and sabotage foreign technology programs that could threaten U.S. military superiority, with its reported toolkit spanning offensive hacking… -
Pentagon Installs New Economic Spying and Sabotage UnitsFeinberg first made headlines when the Pentagon invested billions to take equity stakes in more than a dozen private businesses. There are serious concerns that Feinberg is directing money to businesses he himself and/or Donald Trump’s… -
Pete Hegseth’s secret ‘movie-level spy craft’ agency sparks oversight alarm: reportDefense Secretary Pete Hegseth's Pentagon has spent months quietly standing up a new covert agency that has insiders worried about who's watching it. The Technology Support Office, or TSO, was set up in April to secretly undermine rival… -
Pentagon creates agency for technological sabotage in foreign countries — PoliticoWASHINGTON, October 22. /TASS/. An agency tasked with technological sabotage in foreign countries has been created within the US Department of Defense, the Politico newspaper wrote. "The Pentagon has spent months quietly building an elite… -
DoW’s ‘Fostering One Strong Industrial Base’ Memorandum Moves Contractors From CAS to GAAPAs a leader of the firm’s Defense, National Security and Government Contracting industry team, Ned Childs is a government contract and investigations and enforcement attorney who represents companies across a wide range of sectors… - Pentagon and Lockheed have agreed to produce 850 F-35 fighter jetsOctober 22 2026, 01:15 PM • 600 views Lockheed Martin has reached a preliminary agreement with the Pentagon to produce and support 850 F-35s over 10 years. The company will invest at least $7 billion. Lockheed Martin has reached a…
-
Senator Elizabeth Warren (@senatorwarren)Substack Boeing has overcharged the Pentagon nearly 8,000% for soap dispensers. Talk about government waste. If the Pentagon wants to crack down on price gouging by defense contractors and do something to save American tax dollars — I'm… - The Pentagon is quietly building an elite new tech sabotage agencyThe Pentagon has spent months quietly building an elite new tech agency to help covertly disrupt and sabotage foreign technology programs considered threats to American military superiority. Neither Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth nor any…
-
Warren, Grassley Press Pentagon’s Feinberg on Price TransparencyBloomberg Government News A bipartisan group of US senators is pressing Deputy Defense Secretary Steve Feinberg to detail how he’ll compel defense companies to disclose detailed cost and pricing data for contracts below a $10 million… - Senate lawmakers press Pentagon for greater price transparencyThe lawmakers want to know whether DoD will disqualify contractors that refuse to provide necessary cost and pricing data. A group of lawmakers is pressing the Pentagon to explain how it will obtain cost and pricing data from defense…
Related markets
All trump administration ›Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
3%chance
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
27%chance▲ 5
Trump out as President before 2027?
5%chance
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2%chance
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
98%chance
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions