Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)
189.3median
140230
Median 189.3Middle half 174.1 – 201.4
Install
Will India resume the Indus Waters Treaty? (Before 2027)
The odds
5%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 5% on Oct 19, 5% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 2¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 7.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Indus Waters Treaty, India
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Pakistan Defence Expert Urges India Talks to Resolve Key DisputesPakistan defence expert Zubair Mahmood Hayat urges India and Pakistan to address Kashmir and Indus Waters Treaty disputes to reduce future conflict risks. A senior Pakistani defence expert has called on India and Pakistan to address their… -
MLBx brings baseball to India with event in MumbaiBaseball fans have long seen commonalities between the American pastime and cricket, a sport that is loved by billions of people around the world -- particularly in India. Each sport has a bat and a ball. The objective for the offense is… -
Britain's posh schools are heading to India for students and profitsOn the outskirts of Chandigarh city in India's north-western Punjab state, a 473-year-old legacy British public school opened its first all-girls international campus earlier this year. In contrast to the prominent Gothic-style central… -
Kartik Aaryan’s ‘Captain India’ Set Amid Houthi Conflict in Yemen (EXCLUSIVE)Kartik Aaryan’s upcoming action drama “Captain India” is set amid the Houthi conflict in Yemen, Variety understands. The film marks Aaryan’s first turn as a pilot. Shimit Amin directs the project, which is based on a real humanitarian… -
Grading Jonathan India’s Kansas City Royals TenureThe Kansas City Royals needed a leadoff hitter and an on-base presence to take some pressure off Bobby Witt Jr. Jonathan India was supposed to be that guy. Two seasons later, he is heading to free agency, and Kansas City is likely going to… -
India's WTC Final chances: What South Africa's win over Australia meansSouth Africa’s innings win over Australia has tightened the World Test Championship final race. Australia remain top, while India sit fifth with seven Tests left against New Zealand and Australia. India need 62 points to reach a 60 PCT and… -
Trump is desperate to bring gas prices down. The solution might be in India.NBC News As President Donald Trump tries to contain soaring gas prices ahead of crucial midterm elections, his administration is hoping that part of the solution lies in a small coastal city in India. -
India slashes cost of cancer drugs after court rules mark-ups are ‘extortion’Case filed in 2022 by patient unable to afford medicine leads to cap on drug prices for millions who face ruin if diagnosed The Indian government has moved to reduce the price of cancer drugs after a retired bank clerk took her case to the… -
In India, police shootings of alleged cow smugglers raise alarm about impunity and biasBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. An Associated Press… -
Dali chief engineer blocked from returning to U.S. after trip to India, attorney saysOctober 22, 2026 / 8:39 PM EDT / CBS Baltimore A crew member of the cargo ship that struck and brought down the Francis Scott Key Bridge in 2024 says he has been prevented from returning to the United States after traveling to his home… - Vaibhav Sooryavanshi score today for New Zealand vs. India 2nd T20I in ChristchurchVaibhav Sooryavanshi may finally get a chance in India's playing XI for the second T20I against New Zealand at Hagley Oval in Christchurch. The teenager has been left out of six consecutive T20 internationals, and he also sat out the…
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India Nepal Relations | Proximity to Prosperity: The India-Nepal OpportunityBangladesh, Sri Lanka to Nepal, the world is seen Gen Z movements, resulting in regime change. Sharing his analysis of the situation, Nepal Minister Dr Swarnim Wagle said "all country cases are distinct and different". "I think, as the…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions