2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Jun 30, 2027 · $12K traded · $6.1K at stake · prices read 71 min ago

The odds

97%Jean-Luc Mélenchon
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon97%
  • Marine Le Pen97%▲ 1
  • Nathalie Arthaud90%
  • Édouard Philippe89%
  • Éric Zemmour85%
  • Fabien Roussel81%▲ 2
  • Raphaël Glucksmann77%▼ 1
  • Jean Lassalle77%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan65%▲ 1
  • Bruno Retailleau53%▼ 1
  • Dominique de Villepin32%
  • François Hollande31%▲ 1
11 more
  • Gabriel Attal27%▲ 1
  • Marine Tondelier26%
  • François Ruffin19%▼ 5
  • François Asselineau16%
  • Bernard Cazeneuve9%▼ 2
  • Jérôme Guedj8%
  • Olivier Faure7%
  • Karim Bouamrane7%
  • Jordan Bardella6%
  • Gérald Darmanin6%
  • Clémentine Autain4%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 97% 95¢ 99¢ $1.01 6.00
Marine Le Pen 97% ▲ 1 95¢ 98¢ $1.02 60.00
Nathalie Arthaud 90% 86¢ 93¢ $1.08 9.00
Édouard Philippe 89% 86¢ 92¢ $1.09 619
Éric Zemmour 85% 82¢ 87¢ $1.15 4.7K
Fabien Roussel 81% ▲ 2 79¢ 82¢ $1.22 382
Raphaël Glucksmann 77% ▼ 1 74¢ 80¢ $1.25 2.9K
Jean Lassalle 77% 73¢ 80¢ $1.25
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 65% ▲ 1 62¢ 67¢ $1.49 194
Bruno Retailleau 53% ▼ 1 50¢ 56¢ $1.79 3.0K
Dominique de Villepin 32% 29¢ 34¢ $2.94 1.8K
François Hollande 31% ▲ 1 28¢ 33¢ $3.03 2.8K
Gabriel Attal 27% ▲ 1 25¢ 29¢ $3.45 5.4K
Marine Tondelier 26% 23¢ 28¢ $3.57 103
François Ruffin 19% ▼ 5 16¢ 22¢ $4.55 413
François Asselineau 16% 14¢ 18¢ $5.56 338
Bernard Cazeneuve 9% ▼ 2 7¢ 11¢ $9.09 624
Jérôme Guedj 8% 5¢ 10¢ $10.00 226
Olivier Faure 7% 4¢ 9¢ $11.11 543
Karim Bouamrane 7% 3¢ 10¢ $10.00 365
Jordan Bardella 6% 3¢ 9¢ $11.11 382
Gérald Darmanin 6% 2¢ 9¢ $11.11
Clémentine Autain 4% 1¢ 7¢ $14.29 1.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Polymarket

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

94%Jean-Luc Mélenchon
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon94%
  • Marine Le Pen92%▼ 1
  • Fabien Roussel86%▲ 2
  • Nathalie Arthaud86%▼ 1
42 more
  • Édouard Philippe85%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann82%▼ 2
  • Éric Zemmour81%▼ 1
  • David Lisnard79%▲ 1
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan68%▼ 3
  • Bruno Retailleau59%▲ 1
  • Dominique de Villepin32%▲ 1
  • Marine Tondelier31%
  • François Hollande28%▲ 1
  • Gabriel Attal27%▲ 1
  • François Ruffin20%
  • Sarah Knafo15%▼ 2
  • François Asselineau13%▲ 1
  • Delphine Batho10%
  • Jordan Bardella8%
  • Élisabeth Borne7%
  • Juan Branco7%
  • Matthieu Pigasse6%▲ 2
  • Michel Barnier6%
  • Xavier Bertrand6%▼ 1
  • Jean-Michel Fauvergue6%
  • Yaël Braun-Pivet6%
  • Bernard Cazeneuve6%
  • Teddy Riner6%
  • Jean Castex5%
  • Olivier Faure5%
  • François Bayrou5%
  • Carole Delga5%
  • Sébastien Lecornu5%
  • Manuel Bompard5%
  • Karim Bouamrane5%
  • Philippe de Villiers5%
  • Michel-Edouard Leclerc5%▼ 1
  • Mathilde Panot4%
  • Manuel Valls4%
  • Valérie Pécresse4%
  • Jérôme Guedj4%
  • Gérald Darmanin4%
  • Bally Bagayoko4%
  • Laurent Wauquiez3%
  • Ségolène Royal3%
  • Clémentine Autain3%
PolymarketCloses Jun 30, 2027 · $1.6K today · $569K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: French Presidential, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Marine Le Pen

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

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Elections › Around the world

Next French Presidential Election

46%Marine Le Pen
  • Marine Le Pen46%▼ 2
  • Édouard Philippe18%▼ 1
  • David Lisnard12%
42 more
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon10%▲ 1
  • Raphaël Glucksmann5%
  • François Hollande2%
  • Gabriel Attal1%
  • Sarah Knafo1%
  • Éric Zemmour1%
  • Bruno Retailleau1%
  • Christine Lagarde1%
  • Jordan Bardella1%
  • Dominique de Villepin1%
  • Sébastien Lecornu<1%
  • Xavier Bertrand<1%
  • François Ruffin<1%
  • Marine Tondelier<1%
  • Ségolène Royal<1%
  • François Asselineau<1%
  • Jean Castex<1%
  • Karim Bouamrane<1%
  • Laurent Wauquiez<1%
  • Fabien Roussel<1%
  • Olivier Faure<1%
  • Clémentine Autain<1%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%
  • Michel Barnier<1%
  • Valérie Pécresse<1%
  • François Bayrou<1%
  • Élisabeth Borne<1%
  • Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%
  • Gérald Darmanin<1%
  • Carole Delga<1%
  • Bernard Cazeneuve<1%
  • Manuel Bompard<1%
  • Mathilde Panot<1%
  • Juan Branco<1%
  • Clémence Guetté<1%
  • Lucie Castets<1%
  • Yannick Jadot<1%
  • François Baroin<1%
  • Marion Maréchal<1%
  • Natacha Polony<1%
  • Anasse Kazib<1%
  • Sylvain Durif<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.