Will James Fishback announce a run for public office? (Before Jul 1, 2027)

Kalshi Elections Closes Jul 1, 2027 · $2 traded · $2 at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

40%Before Jul 1, 2027
  • Before Jan 1, 202725%▼ 1
  • Before Jul 1, 202740%

How the odds have moved

Before Jan 1, 2027: 25% on Oct 19, 25% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before Jan 1, 2027 25% ▼ 1 20¢ 29¢ $3.45 7.00
Before Jul 1, 2027 40% 35¢ 45¢ $2.22

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: James Fishback

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.