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Will the FCC pull a Big Four TV station license? (Before Apr 1, 2027)
The odds
- Before Jan 1, 20277%▼ 1
- Before Apr 1, 202718%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 5% on Oct 20, 7% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 7% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 15.4K |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 18% | ▲ 1 | 15¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 7.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Big Four TV
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.