Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15)
329.0median
250340
Median 329.0
Install
Which companies will Commerce add to the Entity List? (Before Jan 1, 2028)
The odds
78%Megaspeed
- Megaspeed78%▲ 8
- Speedmatrix56%▲ 1
- CXMT20%
- DeepSeek11%
How the odds have moved
Megaspeed: 16% on Nov 9, 78% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Nov 12, 2 PM ETMegaspeed: 50% → 28%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megaspeed | 78% | ▲ 8 | 77¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 3.7K |
| Speedmatrix | 56% | ▲ 1 | 55¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 821 |
| CXMT | 20% | 19¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 24.00 | |
| DeepSeek | 11% | 10¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 9.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Entity List, Commerce
Search ›- Bessent blames Commerce Department for not putting Megaspeed on blacklistTreasury Secretary Scott Bessent directly blamed the Commerce Department for delaying the broader administration’s intent to place Nvidia customer Megaspeed on a special blacklist of companies that could pose a national security threat. In…
- Bessent blames Lutnick's Commerce Department for failing to block Megaspeed2 hours agoRachel ClunBusiness Reporter, New YorkHow could the Nvidia CEO’s affair threaten US national security? US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has blamed the Commerce Department, run by Howard Lutnick, for failing to properly…
- Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent points finger at Howard Lutnick, Commerce Department over Nvidia chip scandalPolitics Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent points finger at Howard Lutnick, Commerce Department over Nvidia chip scandal By Emily Goodin Published Nov. 13, 2026, 9:55 a.m. ET See more of our coverage in your search results. WASHINGTON —…
- BIS extends suspension of ‘affiliates rule’ for entity list enforcementThe Bureau of Industry and Security has extended the suspension of an interim rule that would effectively extend the same restrictions to affiliates of U.S. Department of Commerce-listed entities. The “affiliates rule” requires any entity…
- Bessent Blames Commerce For Not Imposing Megaspeed Restrictions After 'Months' Of Requests: 'Commerce Has The Pen'LOADINGERROR LOADINGTreasury Secretary Scott Bessent pushed blame on the Commerce Department for not placing restrictions on Megaspeed, the company involved in Nvidia’s alleged spy scandal, saying his department requested restrictions “for…
- Bessent shifts Megaspeed decision burden to CommerceGeneral News Bessent shifts Megaspeed decision burden to Commerce James Rodriguez November 13, 2026 5 min read Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent put the spotlight on the Commerce Department Friday as questions swirled around the U.S…
- Bessent Calls Out Commerce Over Megaspeed Scandal as Nvidia Faces Congressional ScrutinyPolitics Bessent Calls Out Commerce Over Megaspeed Scandal as Nvidia Faces Congressional Scrutiny The Treasury secretary said Commerce controlled the entity-list process and criticized delays amid scrutiny of Nvidia's customer safeguards…
- Bessent blames Lutnick’s Commerce for not blacklisting MegaspeedTreasury Secretary Scott Bessent at a White House press briefing in Washington on 28 May 2026 Credit: Official White House Photo by Abe McNatt Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has blamed Howard Lutnick’s Commerce Department for leaving…
- Trump’s Inner Circle Throws Howard Lutnick Under the BusLoading video...By Steve MollmanNews Editor Newsweek is a Trust Project memberSee more of our trusted coverage when you search.to see more of our trusted coverage when you search.Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick is facing mounting…
- Commerce Secretary Lutnick agrees to testify about NvidiaIE 11 is not supported. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser.Commerce Secretary Lutnick agrees to testify about NvidiaNov. 13, 202603:06Alex Murdaugh seeks dismissal of murder case, says agent lied to grand jury…
- US commerce secretary in the spotlight over Nvidia scandalFrom Semafor FlagshipIn your inbox, every weekdaySign upUS commerce secretary in the spotlight over Nvidia scandal Nov 13, 2026, 6:44am ESTPostEmailWhatsappFormer Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick. Jonathan…
- Bessent criticizes Commerce Department over Nvidia export control delaysSkip to content Log in Create account Fear & Greed20 Extreme FearCrypto market$2.37T−3.1%24h breadth110 up142 downBitcoin$68,838−4.2%Ethereum$1,939−3.9%Solana$80−2.2%XRP$1.02−0.5%BNB$635−3.1%Top…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions