El Paso County Judge winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $4.6K traded · $4K at stake · prices read 82 min ago

The odds

98%Ricardo Samaniego

Ricardo Samaniego98%
Minerva Torres Shelton2%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Ricardo Samaniego: 98% on Oct 20, 98% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Ricardo Samaniego	98%		97¢	99¢	$1.01	4.5K
Minerva Torres Shelton	2%	▲ 1	1¢	3¢	$33.33	11.9K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: El Paso County Judge, Ricardo Samaniego, Minerva Torres Shelton

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El Paso County Judge candidates: Ricardo Samaniego and Minerva Torres SheltonKFOX · 4 days agoKFOX14 Weather Warn: Heavy rain and strong storms are possible Thursday and Friday, bringing gusty winds and localized flooding. EL PASO, TEXAS (KFOX14/CBS4) — With the midterm elections 11 days away, the El Paso County Judge race is…
Community Conversations: El Paso County Judge Ricardo Samaniego seeks re-electionKFOX · 4 days agoKFOX14 Weather Warn: Heavy rain and strong storms are possible Thursday and Friday, bringing gusty winds and localized flooding. EL PASO, Texas (KFOX14/CBS4) — El Paso County Judge Ricardo Samaniego is seeking re-election, setting up a…
Republican nominee Minerva Torres Shelton talks campaign, issues for El Paso County Judge seatKVIA · 9 days agoEL PASO, Texas (KVIA) -- Ahead of early voting for the November election starting on Monday in Texas, ABC-7's Andrew J. Polk spoke one-on-one with the challenger for the El Paso County Judge seat. Minerva Torres Shelton discussed her…
Q&A: El Paso county judge candidates in Nov. 3 midterm electionEl Paso Matters · 12 days agoThe county judge is one of five members of the El Paso County Commissioners Court, which sets a tax rate, adopts a budget and makes policy decisions for the county government. The county judge represents all of El Paso County, serves…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onEl Paso County Elections Department

Trading closesNov 3, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$4.6K (16,329 contracts)

This week$6

At stake$4K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Ricardo Samaniego wins the 2026 El Paso County Judge general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions