Will Trump declare an election emergency?

Kalshi Politics › Trump administration Closes Dec 31 · $940 today · $35.2K traded · $17.2K at stake · prices read just now

The odds

30%Before Jan 1, 2027
  • Before Nov 4, 202610%▼ 2
  • Before Jan 1, 202730%▼ 2

How the odds have moved

Before Nov 4, 2026: 12% on Oct 20, 10% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before Sep 1, 2026 <1% 94.2K
Before Nov 4, 2026 10% ▼ 2 9¢ 10¢ $10.00 291.2K
Before Jan 1, 2027 30% ▼ 2 29¢ 30¢ $3.33 20.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Trump

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  • Tracking Trump: Trump rolls back Canada tariffs; Melania Trump’s peace deal; Hegseth bans insider trading; and moreThe Washington Post · 23 h agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Trump rolled back some…
  • Will Trump’s midterm blitz boost turnout?Fox News · 69 min agoPaul Gigot interviews pollster Mark Penn on ‘The Journal Editorial Report.' Will Trump’s midterm blitz boost turnout? Paul Gigot interviews pollster Mark Penn on ‘The Journal Editorial Report.'
  • Trump: Tariffs have made us richFox News · 23 h agoPresident Donald Trump discusses the impact of his tariffs on the United States at a midterm campaign rally in Fort Myers, Fla. Trump: Tariffs have made us rich President Donald Trump discusses the impact of his tariffs on the United…
  • Biden’s economy keeps messing up Trump’s messagePOLITICO · 5 h ago“You can’t blame the president when policies go wrong, and then say he’s not responsible if things are going right.” On Monday, former President Donald Trump claimed on Truth Social that voters were already enjoying a "TRUMP STOCK MARKET"…
  • Melania Trump adviser shares INSIDE LOOK at ceasefire agreementFox News · 6 h agoMarc Beckman, a senior advisor to Melania Trump, joins 'Fox & Friends Weekend' to discuss the first lady's humanitarian efforts in Ukraine. Melania Trump adviser shares INSIDE LOOK at ceasefire agreement Marc Beckman, a senior advisor to…
  • Trump calls for Ilhan Omar's RESIGNATIONFox News · 32 h ago'Lock her up!' chants erupt from the crowd at President Donald Trump's Iowa rally as he calls on Democratic Rep. Ilhan Omar to resign from Congress. Trump calls for Ilhan Omar's RESIGNATION 'Lock her up!' chants erupt from the crowd at…
  • Trump spars with reporter on Ramaswamy adFox News · 28 h agoPresident Trump sparred with a reporter over a controversial campaign ad from Ohio gubernatorial candidate Vivek Ramaswamy's campaign featuring the estranged mother of opponent Amy Acton. Trump spars with reporter on Ramaswamy ad President…
  • BREAKING: Melania Trump secures localized Ukraine ceasefireFox News · 30 h agoFirst lady Melania Trump announces she has personally secured a localized ceasefire in the city of Oleshky in southern Ukraine, allowing humanitarian aid to enter and civilians to evacuate safely. BREAKING: Melania Trump secures localized…
  • Trump Asked Google To Rename Atlantic Ocean ‘Trump Ocean’Newsweek · 2 days agoOct 22, 2026 at 04:59 AM EDT Oct 22, 2026 at 06:17 AM EDT President Donald Trump has claimed he spoke to Google about renaming a body of water after himself, saying the technology company rejected the idea because oceans border multiple…
  • Trump defends Ramaswamy ad despite bipartisan backlashCBS News · 31 h agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Trump defends…
  • Jesse Watters: Love was in the air for Trump in FloridaFox News · 20 h agoFox News host Jesse Watters discusses President Donald Trump’s midterm blitz on ‘Jesse Watters Primetime.’ ... Jesse Watters: Love was in the air for Trump in Florida Fox News host Jesse Watters discusses President Donald Trump’s midterm…
  • Trump GOES AFTER Ilhan Omar at rallyFox News · 32 h agoPresident Donald Trump mocks Rep. Ilhan Omar's "not to my knowledge" response when asked whether she was related to her former husband, bringing up the viral exchange during his campaign rally in Iowa ... Trump GOES AFTER Ilhan Omar at…

Related markets

All trump administration ›
Politics › Trump administration

Next Press Secretary?

26%Anna Kelly
  • Anna Kelly26%▲ 2
  • Scott Jennings8%
  • Elizabeth Pipko6%▲ 1
28 more
  • Lara Trump5%▲ 3
  • Maria Bartiromo5%
  • Margo Martin4%▲ 1
  • Beni Rae Harmony4%▼ 1
  • Kayleigh McEnany3%▼ 2
  • Natalie Harp3%▼ 1
  • Harrison Fields3%
  • Katie Pavlich2%
  • Katie Miller2%▼ 1
  • Taylor Rogers2%
  • Tricia McLaughlin2%
  • Laura Loomer2%
  • Karoline Leavitt2%
  • Kari Lake2%▲ 1
  • Steven Cheung2%▼ 1
  • Lauren Bis1%▼ 1
  • Alina Habba1%
  • Liz Huston1%
  • Monica Crowley1%
  • Rachel Campos-Duffy1%
  • Hogan Gidley1%
  • Kush Desai<1%
  • Pat Adams<1%
  • Kaelan Dorr<1%
  • Ari Fleischer<1%
  • Matthew Boyle<1%
  • Spencer Pratt<1%
  • Jake Paul<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.