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>99%October 31
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Deportations in 2026?
The odds
445,000median
100,000700,000
Median 445,000Middle half 432,500 – 473,401
How the odds have moved
Median: 445,663 on Oct 20, 445,000 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 200,000 | 99% | 99¢ | 4.5K | |||
| Above 300,000 | 99% | 97¢ | $1.02 | 9.0K | ||
| Above 400,000 | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 26.9K | |
| Above 425,000 | 90% | ▼ 2 | 86¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 1.0K |
| Above 450,000 | 40% | ▼ 7 | 38¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | 29.0K |
| Above 500,000 | 8% | ▼ 13 | 6¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 61.5K |
| Above 600,000 | 5% | ▼ 4 | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.36 | 47.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Deportations, FY2026
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60 Minutes investigates "third-country deportations"As the Trump administration seeks to carry out the largest deportation in American history, it is removing more and more people to countries they are not from and often have no ties to. It's called "third-country deportation." A 60 Minutes… -
This comedian jokes about deportation from Ireland … but it is happening for realDespite job offers, Jaishree Malik has had visa renewal and extension requests delayed and denied, and she is not alone Jaishree Malik bounds on to the Cheeky Monkey comedy club stage and brandishes an envelope – it is a letter from the… -
GREGG JARRETT: Ilhan Omar could face indictment, denaturalization and deportationFox News legal analyst Gregg Jarrett breaks down the legal woes Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., could be facing on ‘Hannity.’ Lies, particularly spectacular ones, inevitably crumble over time when subject to scrutiny. A case in point is Rep… -
Briton facing forced separation from baby son after Sweden orders his deportationSimon Montgomery’s application to remain after the birth of his son last year was rejected on multiple grounds by the country’s migration agency, a decision that was then upheld by the migration court. He is appealing to the higher… -
Nearly 1 Million Deported from US Under Trump 2.0: AnalysisOct 22, 2026 at 12:05 PM EDT Roughly 980,000 deportations were carried out during the first 18 months of President Donald Trump’s second term, according to an analysis by the Migration Policy Institute (MPI) The figure fell short of the… -
National Bank Financial Estimates PAAS FY2026 EarningsPosted by Defense World Staff on Oct 24th, 2026 Here are the key news stories impacting Pan American Silver this week: Pan American Silver Corp. is a Canada-based precious metals mining company that explores, develops and operates mines… -
Trump administration deported nearly 1 million through July, report findsZookeepers aren’t sure how Dolly feels about her new name. But they say it matches the bold and feisty personality of their “most vocal” recent red panda cub. National Zoo officials put it to the people, and they (more than 20,000 of them)… -
Research Analysts Set Expectations for BCE FY2026 EarningsPosted by Defense World Staff on Oct 24th, 2026 The business also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Thursday, October 15th. Stockholders of record on Tuesday, September 15th were paid a dividend of C$0.44 per… -
Border Patrol Logs Under 99,000 Southwest Arrests In FY2026, Lowest In Nearly 60 YearsThe Department of Homeland Security said Friday that Border Patrol made 98,708 apprehensions on the southwest border in fiscal 2026, which ended Sept. 30, a 95% drop from the more than 1.8 million a year it counts under the Biden… -
Erste Group Bank Comments on Deere & Company FY2026 EarningsPosted by Defense World Staff on Oct 24th, 2026 The business also recently declared a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Monday, November 9th. Investors of record on Wednesday, September 30th will be issued a $1.62 dividend. The… -
Trump put this Hispanic district in play. His deportations are complicating the pitch.Republican Rosie Pino is criticizing Trump’s immigration crackdown, but her party’s hopes of unseating Democratic Rep. Nellie Pou are fading. Rep. Nellie Pou (D-N.J.) launches a Passaic County Central Labor Council labor walk in Clifton… -
MAGA mass deportation crusader locked up and could be deported himselfA right-wing blogger who defended the fatal shooting of a woman by President Donald Trump’s federal immigration agents in Minneapolis at the start of the year has been arrested and is being held for potential deportation, Bulwark writer…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions