Blue wave in 2026?
83%chance▼ 2
Install
Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?
The odds
88%New Hampshire
- New Hampshire88%▲ 3
- Iowa8%▼ 1
- South Carolina4%▼ 2
- Nevada<1%
How the odds have moved
New Hampshire: 87% on Oct 20, 88% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Hampshire | 88% | ▲ 3 | 88¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 35.4K |
| Iowa | 8% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 28.7K |
| South Carolina | 4% | ▼ 2 | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 30.4K |
| Nevada | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 4.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New Hampshire, South Carolina
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No. 2 Michigan State Stunned by New HampshireThe Michigan State Spartans headed east to New Hampshire this weekend for their second consecutive weekend on the road. Facing a 2-1-1 New Hampshire team that had just earned its first two wins of the season against Colgate last weekend… -
How to watch: Tennessee at South CarolinaTennessee is coming off of a physically dominant win over rival Alabama, walking into an obvious letdown spot. Jim Knowles defense was firing on all cylinders, holding the Crimson Tide to season lows ... How to watch Tennessee vs South… -
Live Updates: Tennessee Football: vs. South Carolina10:00: George MacIntyre's first pass is overthrown. 2nd and 10 here at their own 25. False start on the play. Tennessee will back up five. MacIntyre delivers a screen pass to Bishop for a gain of 10. 3rd and 5 here at the 30. Tennessee… -
Bemis fire in New Hampshire's Crawford Notch, White Mountain forest is 45% containedMay 17, 2022 / 4:18 PM EDT / CBS Boston CONWAY, N.H. - The Bemis fire burning in New Hampshire's Crawford Notch State Park and the White Mountain National Forest is 45% contained, authorities said Tuesday. The Forest Service said fire… -
Game Day Predictions: Tennessee Football vs. South CarolinaThe Tennessee Volunteers and the South Carolina Gamecocks are inching closer to kickoff, which means it is finally time for the weekly predictions. The members of Vols on SI shared their game predictions, as this is the biggest road test… -
Tennessee football Qua Moss suffers injury vs South CarolinaCOLUMBIA, SC — Tennessee nickelback Qua Moss left the game with an injury against South Carolina on Oct. 24, but he returned on the ensuing drive. Moss suffered the unspecified injury during a collision early in the second quarter while… -
Tennessee at South Carolina football updated injury reportThe 2026 college football season enters Week 8 for SEC schools. No. 11 Tennessee (6-1, 3-1 SEC) will play at South Carolina (3-3, 1-3 SEC) on Saturday. Kickoff for the Week 8 matchup is slated for 3:30 p.m. EDT at Williams-Brice Stadium in… -
South Carolina’s Biggest Home-Run Threat Tennessee Must ContainTennessee’s defense passed a major test against Alabama. Now it must handle a different combination. Physical football. A rested opponent. And a receiver who can erase a cushion in seconds. No. 11 Tennessee visits South Carolina for… -
MSU hockey shut out on the road for first loss at New HampshireThe No. 2 Michigan State hockey team dropped its first contest of the season on Oct. 23, falling 1-0 on the road against New Hampshire in the first if a two-game series with the Wildcats. Both sides skated to a 0-0 tie through two periods… -
Gamecocks Insider Alex Joyce Previews Tennessee vs. South Carolina FootballThe Tennessee Volunteers and the South Carolina Gamecocks are set for a massive game, as this is just one week after the Vols defeated the Alabama Crimson Tide at home. In fact, this is one of the biggest games on the Tennessee schedule… -
HALFTIME UPDATE: South Carolina Gamecocks Trail Vols, 21-17We're officially at the half way mark of the 2026 season. The first half of the season featured some high highs for the Gamecocks and unfortunately some low lows. Here's a quick recap of the early season and a look ahead to the final six… -
Bold Predictions: Tennessee vs. South CarolinaThe Tennessee Volunteers and the South Carolina Gamecocks are set for battle, as this is a game that the Tennessee football program absolutely needs to win if it has any hopes of making the college football playoffs. Ahead of the game…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.