Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Polymarket Politics › Congress Closes Jan 1, 2027 · $35.8K today · $425K traded · $21.3K at stake · prices read just now

The odds

10%Thom Tillis
  • Thom Tillis10%
  • Rand Paul9%▲ 4
  • Kirsten Gillibrand9%▲ 1
  • Andy Kim8%
  • John Fetterman7%
  • Mark Warner7%▲ 2
  • Jacky Rosen7%
  • Alex Padilla7%▲ 1
  • Raphael Warnock7%
  • Catherine Cortez Masto7%
  • Mike Lee6%
  • Josh Hawley6%▲ 1
3 more
  • Lisa Blunt Rochester4%▼ 1
  • Jerry Moran3%▼ 1
  • Ruben Gallego3%

How the odds have moved

Thom Tillis: 10% on Oct 20, 10% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Thom Tillis 10% 10¢ 11¢ $9.09 $26.4K
Rand Paul 9% ▲ 4 9¢ 10¢ $10.42 $59.8K
Kirsten Gillibrand 9% ▲ 1 8¢ 10¢ $10.00 $9.4K
Andy Kim 8% 8¢ 8¢ $12.05 $4.2K
John Fetterman 7% 7¢ 8¢ $12.50 $13.3K
Mark Warner 7% ▲ 2 7¢ 8¢ $12.82 $69.5K
Jacky Rosen 7% 7¢ 7¢ $13.51 $26.4K
Alex Padilla 7% ▲ 1 7¢ 8¢ $12.66 $19.1K
Raphael Warnock 7% 7¢ 7¢ $14.29 $3.9K
Catherine Cortez Masto 7% 7¢ 7¢ $14.93 $23.7K
Mike Lee 6% 6¢ 7¢ $15.38 $61.8K
Josh Hawley 6% ▲ 1 6¢ 7¢ $15.38 $55.6K
Lisa Blunt Rochester 4% ▼ 1 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 $6.3K
Jerry Moran 3% ▼ 1 1¢ 6¢ $17.86 $16.3K
Ruben Gallego 3% 1¢ 5¢ $21.28 $29.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? (Before 2027)

8%Jerry Moran
  • Jerry Moran8%▼ 1
  • Mark Warner7%
  • Lisa Blunt Rochester7%
  • Andy Kim6%▲ 1
8 more
  • Kirsten Gillibrand5%
  • Mike Lee5%▼ 1
  • Ruben Gallego5%
  • Catherine Cortez Masto5%
  • Angela Alsobrooks4%▲ 2
  • Josh Hawley4%▼ 1
  • Rand Paul4%
  • Raphael Warnock4%▼ 1
KalshiCloses Jan 1, 2027 · $4 today · $3.1K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Clarity Act, Senators, Thom Tillis

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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KalshiCloses Jan 1, 2027 · $682 today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions