Bank of Canada Decision (Oct 28, 2026)
72%Hike 25 bp
- Hike 25 bp72%
- Hold20%
- Cut 25 bp8%
- Hike 50+ bp<1%
1 more
- Cut 50+ bp<1%
Install
Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
The odds
80%Hike 25bps
- Hike 25bps80%▼ 2
- Maintains rate18%
- Hike >25bps1%▲ 1
- Cut >25bps1%
- Cut 25bps1%
How the odds have moved
Hike 25bps: 72% on Oct 20, 80% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 7 PM ETHike 25bps: 70% → 81%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hike 25bps | 80% | ▼ 2 | 79¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 214.0K |
| Maintains rate | 18% | 17¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 301.0K | |
| Hike >25bps | 1% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | $50.00 | 5.3K | |
| Cut >25bps | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 6.4K | ||
| Cut 25bps | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 24.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on ForecastEx
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?Hike 25 bpKalshi 80%ForecastEx 72%8 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The same question on Polymarket
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?Hike 25 bpKalshi 80%Polymarket 81%1 pts apart
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
81%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase81%▼ 1
- No Change18%
- 50+ bps increase<1%
- 25 bps decrease<1%
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: Bank of Canada
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Royal Bank Of Canada $RY Stock Bought by Diversify Advisory Services LLCPosted by Defense World Staff on Oct 25th, 2026 The business also recently declared a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Tuesday, November 24th. Shareholders of record on Monday, October 26th will be issued a dividend of C$1.76 per… -
National Bank of Canada (OTCMKTS:NTIOF) Stock Now Rated “Hold” by Wall Street AnalystsPosted by Sarita Garza on Oct 24th, 2026 Shares of National Bank of Canada (OTCMKTS:NTIOF – Get Free Report) have been assigned a consensus rating of “Hold” from the eight brokerages that are presently covering the company, MarketBeat.com… -
Week Ahead: Five G10 Central Banks Meet And Reserve Bank of New Zealand And The Bank of Canada Are Most Likely To HikeThe dollar has become more sensitive to changes in the 10-year yield than that two-year, but the correlations are both much less than earlier in the year. Read more here. - The rolling 30-day correlation of changes in the euro and changes… -
Visteon (NASDAQ:VC) Price Target Cut to $100.00 by Analysts at Royal Bank Of CanadaVisteon (NASDAQ:VC – Free Report) had its price target trimmed by Royal Bank Of Canada from $127.00 to $100.00 in a research note issued to investors on Friday,Benzinga reports. The brokerage currently has an outperform rating on the… -
GE Aerospace (NYSE:GE) Stock Gets Price Target Cut from Royal Bank Of CanadaPosted by Michael Walen on Oct 24th, 2026 GE Aerospace (NYSE:GE – Free Report) had its price objective reduced by Royal Bank Of Canada from $400.00 to $375.00 in a research note published on Wednesday, Marketbeat Ratings reports. They… - Is the Bank of Canada about to make a big mistake?Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem is seen during a news conference in Ottawa in June. Markets increasingly think the central bank will nudge rates up at its meeting on Wednesday.The Canadian Press/The Canadian Press Nothing is set in…
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Amex Exploration Now Off Restriction at National Bank of CanadaAmex Exploration is now off restriction at National Bank of Canada after the company closed a C$59 million private placement, the bank said Thursday. The bank gave Amex an outperform rating and... Amex Gold Mining Inc. Amex Exploration Now… -
Amex Exploration Maintains Outperform Rating, $3.00 Price Target at National Bank of CanadaNational Bank of Canada on Thursday reiterated its outperform rating on the shares of Amex Exploration and its $3.00 price target after the company provided updates on its Perron project in... Amex Gold Mining Inc. Amex Exploration… - Amex Exploration Maintained at Outperform with a $2.50 Price Target at National Bank of CanadaNational Bank of Canada on Tuesday reiterated its outperform rating on the shares of Amex Exploration and its $2.50 price target. Amex recently announced the results of one hole drilled in the... Amex Gold Mining Inc. Amex Exploration…
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Bank of Canada: Gradual return to neutral – TD SecuritiesTD Securities’ macro team, led by Andrew Kelvin and Robert Both, does not share market conviction for an October Bank of Canada rate hike. They expect the BoC to hold at 2.25% now, then deliver 25bp increases in December and January… -
Royal Bank of Canada Issues Callable Contingent Coupon Notes Linked to Netflix Stock Maturing in 2028On October 23, 2026, Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) filed a free writing prospectus detailing terms for Issuer Callable Contingent Coupon Barrier Notes tied to Netflix, Inc. common stock. The notes have a ... On October 23, 2026, Royal Bank of… -
Bank of Canada: Preemptive tightening focus – RBC"In our view, the case for the central bank continuing to wait on the sidelines remains compelling. The Canadian economy is improving, but still not strong. There is sufficient slack, in our view, that will slow inflation passthrough ."…
Related markets
All central banks ›Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026?
52%Hike 25bps
- Hike 25bps52%▲ 6
- Maintains rate44%▼ 8
- Hike >25bps2%▲ 1
2 more
- Cut >25bps1%
- Cut 25bps1%▼ 1
South Africa rate decision in November (Nov 19, 2026 meeting)
37%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate37%▼ 5
- Hike 1-25bps35%▲ 34
- Cut 1-25bps22%▲ 1
2 more
- Hike more than 25bps6%
- Cut more than 25bps2%▼ 3
Bank of Brazil decision in November?
82%25 bps decrease
- 25 bps decrease82%▼ 4
- No Change16%▲ 2
- 50+ bps increase<1%
2 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%▼ 2
- 25 bps increase<1%
Bank of Israel rate decision in November (Nov 23, 2026 meeting)
56%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate56%▲ 9
- Cut 1-25bps47%▼ 1
- Hike 1-25bps1%
2 more
- Cut more than 25bps1%▼ 1
- Hike more than 25bps<1%▼ 1
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December
66%No change
- No change66%▲ 16
- 25 bps increase26%▼ 10
- 50+ bps increase4%
2 more
- 25 bps decrease3%
- 50+ bps decrease1%
Bank of Japan rate decision in October (Oct 29, 2026 meeting)
96%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate96%▼ 1
- Hike 25bps3%
- Cut more than 25bps1%
2 more
- Cut 25bps1%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions