Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister? (Before Jan 2027)

Kalshi Politics › World leaders Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $5.4K traded · $2.7K at stake · prices read 6 min ago

The odds

41%Before Jan 1, 2028
  • Before Jan 1, 20274%▼ 2
  • Before Apr 1, 20274%▼ 1
  • Before Jul 1, 20279%▼ 1
  • Before Oct 1, 202727%
  • Before Jan 1, 202841%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Before Jan 1, 2027: 5% on Oct 20, 4% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before Sep 1, 2026 1% $100.00 8.2K
Before Jan 1, 2027 4% ▼ 2 1¢ 7¢ $14.29 12.6K
Before Apr 1, 2027 4% ▼ 1 2¢ 5¢ $20.00 8.7K
Before Jul 1, 2027 9% ▼ 1 6¢ 11¢ $9.09 6.5K
Before Oct 1, 2027 27% 23¢ 30¢ $3.33 5.2K
Before Jan 1, 2028 41% ▲ 1 37¢ 44¢ $2.27 6.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Andy Burnham, Prime Minister

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

All world leaders ›

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Sep 1, 2028even chance by
  • Before Nov 1, 20262%▲ 1
  • Before Dec 1, 20265%▲ 1
  • Before Jan 1, 20278%▲ 1
14 more
  • Before Feb 1, 20279%▲ 3
  • Before Mar 1, 202714%
  • Before Apr 1, 202720%▼ 1
  • Before May 1, 202720%▲ 6
  • Before Jun 1, 202726%▼ 2
  • Before Jul 1, 202733%▼ 3
  • Before Aug 1, 202734%▲ 3
  • Before Sep 1, 202734%▼ 1
  • Before Oct 1, 202738%
  • Before Nov 1, 202741%
  • Before Dec 1, 202741%▼ 3
  • Before Jan 1, 202846%▼ 2
  • Before Jul 1, 202849%▼ 2
  • Before Jan 1, 202953%▼ 13
KalshiFor Mar 17 · $16.4K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.